Friday 9 July 2010

Flemington Horse Racing 10th of July 2010, Victoria Australia.

I am a professional punter living outside Australia. I punt for a living and for years been helping my mates out with my tips. I have friends on the inside and a professional at reading form. I watch 100’s of videos each week to pick my winners.

I only bet on Victorian races. At times when Victorian horses are interstate I will offer tips at those meetings.

I have decided to share my tips, hopefully to help the normal punter win a few bucks on the weekend.

Remember, never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is a problem contact professional help in your state, city or country. Victoria Horse Racing supports responsible gambling initiatives.

Good luck if having a punt and remember to gamble responsibly.

Flemington Races Saturday 10th July 2010

A slow 7 track, with fine weather forecast could mean an upgrade is possible. Last week we had a few good winners and both my best bets got up and the quadrella paid $2,800 for the $360 investment.

Race 1 – 12.05 – No 6 Little Artist $3.30 won her only start on debut in a maiden at Ballarat. The time is better than it looks, and she won well really showing a turn of foot winning easily. No 2 Royal Bender $4.60 has won her two starts and this is biggest test to date, has blinkers on for the first time which will help her as well as when she was pressured last start she did look around a little. No 4 Dutchy’s Lass $8.50 ran three good races her first preparation. Broke through for a good win and then spelled for 199 days. No 1 Cyndiana Star $15 with the 3kg claim gives her a big chance.

Race 2 – 12.40 – No 5 Baltic Spirit $8 hasn’t set the world on fire thus far. You look at his dad’s Bel Esprit record as a 3yo and this horse has looked much more mature his two runs this preparation. Was scratched midweek in an easier race. No 2 Big Spirit $4.80 has an excellent record this distance and also 100% second up. No 6 Recorrido $7.50 is nominated this coming Wednesday and Thursday, if starts here is a chance, needs to jump better than has been. No 1 Our Baby Bonus $2.20 with the 3kg claim is again a big chance, is giving some of these weight though but a class horse in the making.

Race 3 – 1.15 – No 5 Tinamou $2.70 is going great guns, is up in weight but the claim will help and is sure to be right in this till the end. No 8 Miss Lily Rose $4.40 has come back from the spell with two good runs, with the claim is very light and sure to be coming home hard. No 2 Pass Me By $8.50 should be looking for this distance and more, showed heaps of guts after looking gone last start fighting back and finishing off the race well. No 4 Abitofado $9 is racing well, the claim of 3kgs will give him a very good shot here.

Race 4 – 1.50 – No 10 Shylock’s Daughter $5 was scratched midweek for this much harder race. Is running well and the extra metres should be what she wants. No 11 Jervois $7 is racing well this preparation and has come across from South Australia for another tilt in Victoria. No 1 Oak Heart $4.50 is a chance, King is sure to give a good run and the wide track much better suited. No 2 Saddler’s Story $17 will only improve with distance and sure to be much better here.

Race 5 – 2.26 – No 9 Lord of Arms $9 has returned from a spell with two excellent runs. Drops a heap of weight and also gets a top jockey on board. No 2 Good Value $6 has won all his 3 races. This by far is the biggest test but looked good winning last start finding the line hard. No 4 St Clement Dane $11 has disappointed with 3 wins from 10 starts. The two runs this preparation have looked a lot better and he might be finding his feet finally. No 3 Royal Dalton $7.50 has only been better with racing, drops in weight and very good jockey on board.

Race 6 – 3.03 – It is impossible to go past No 5 Doubtful Jack $2.60, His last two wins have been devastating and the only other chance I can see in the race is his stable mate No 10 Ghostmilk $6 who is also on fire and she will have to be at her best to beat her stable mate. No 3 Philda $15 is sure to be super fit and last run impressed with the way he finished off the race for a very good win. No 8 Outlandish Lad $35 is sure to appreciate a drier track.

Race 7 – 3.38 – No 6 Elusive Touch $3.50 was impressive first up and will again be hard to hold out. Finished 2nd just off the very smart Captain Coltish. Sure to be hard to beat. No 3 Midnight Mustang $4.80 has a good second up record and finished his last race off very well. A smart horse and need to respect. No 7 Whiston $8 hasn’t drawn the best barrier but won well first up and a 100% second up record. No 2 Commanding Hope $9.50 is more than capable of carrying the big weight and will run an honest race for sure.

Race 8 – 4.15 – No 2 Winged Charm $3.30 is a very nice horse and should get the perfect run here. Boss is sure to give her a beautiful ride and will be hard to hold out. No 7 Lamichi $7.50 is a maiden but I think she has a good chance here watching her races. No 4 Dorsoduro $7.50 is going to appreciate the extra metres here and has been finding the line well. No 1 Mount Fleuri $3.50 is up in weight but last two races have been excellent runs so respect.

The quadrella I am expanding the first leg as in the secong leg No 3 Philda and No 10 Ghostmilk have been scratched leaving only No 5 Doubtful Jack as the only runner.

Quadrella races 5,6,7,8: Numbers are 2,3,4,9 / 3,5,10 / 2,3,6,7 / 1,2,4,7 costs $192 for a full unit

So my new numbers are: 1,2,3,4,6,9 / 5 / 1,2,3,6,7 / 1,2,4,7 for a cost of $120 a full unit

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