I watch 100’s of videos each week to pick my winners. I only bet on Victorian races. At times when Victorian horses are interstate I will offer tips at those meetings. I have decided to share my tips, hopefully to help the normal punter win a few bucks on the weekend.
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No 1 You Think So $3.50 has 60kgs but looks the best horse here for me by a bit. Loves this track and will be hard to beat. I hope they don’t lead but take a sit and get a cart for as long as they can in the race. No 7 Toranos $7.50 last few runs have been decent and here at this weight should be able to give this a shake at the end. No 5 Gotta Take Care $9 has the runs under the belt here and back in weight and should be in this at the end. No 6 Aggregator $5.50 has never been over this distance but one for the multiples for me.
Race 2 – 2040mtrs 0-78 Handicap – 06.15pm
No 4 Fresh Light is racing well. Is up in grade and weight again
but must respect in current form. No 8 Twin Soul having her first start in
Australia last start and not too bad at all. Comes in here 2.5kgs better
against Fresh Light and was doing best work too late last start. No 7 Major
Coup is third run back from the spell and looked like he wanted more distance
last start after coming home well late.
No 5 Chosen Moment $8.50 both runs back this preparation have
been good and here they go with blinkers for the first time. No 3 Crystal Web $6.50
a much better second up run last start and have to think he has trained on as
well. No 6 Flamberge $8.50 seems better down the straight than the bend but
keep safe in multiples. No 8 Generalife $3.80 is a horse I would hope to have
improved while in the paddock during the spell. Keep an eye on markets.
No 3 You’re So Good $2.50 comes into this in good form. Last
start they rode her more quietly as she usually likes to be on the speed. From
this barrier if jumps well can go for the lead, if not can try and settle
midfield. I think will be very hard to beat. No 5 Hai Lil $5.50 steps up in
class here but drops weight and should match up here a long way. No 7 Grand
Daughter $21 another with a big jump in class but she should be able to handle
it. No 4 Summerbliss $7.50 might find this a little short but proven in group
and listed company.
This is a very open sprint here. I could see a handful at the
finish. No 1 Kulgrinda $5 has weight and drawn wide but need to respect the
horse first up and at this track. No 6 Fab Fevola $4.80 has drawn well to lead
here, drops weight stepping up into open company and could take some running
down. No 3 Vatican $5 and No 4 Esprit De Bullet $6.50 can both run solid races
when foot is on the till.
No 2 Spirit Song $4 first up from the spell not a lot of luck.
Second up much better and sure to be spot on here in fitness. Should be able to
carry this weight no worries. No 6 There’s Only One $6.50 should appreciate the
extra metres here. Should be primed here but barrier a worry as gets back and
could find a bit of traffic. No 11 Tavarnelle $10 should get a very good run
from this barrier. Will be better for her first up run and one at odds to
respect. No 13 Family Crest $15 will need luck from this barrier as she likes
to lead or be on the speed and this could prove hard from way out here.
Race 7 – 1200mtrs 0-78 Handicap – 08.55pm
This is a very hard race, hardest of the night for me. No 4
Mecir is having first Melbourne start since coming across from Sydney. I
watched 6 or 7 runs and I believe if this horse gets a clean run a chance with
what I have seen. No 7 Our Protocol is racing well but a horrible barrier here.
Will have to do it tough but respect.
The great Black Caviar is having what looks like her last start
here in Victoria and I will be trackside after flying in tomorrow morning. Will
be in Victoria for 3 days and am so looking forward to watching this amazing
mare run. No 6 Black Caviar $1.05 after watching her return at Flemington with
some apprehension as to her recovery from the Ascot trip, to see her break the
track record sent a shiver down the spine. I would love to tell you to get out
to the track to see her but it is sold out. This is a once in a lifetime horse.
Not taking anything from the other modern day champs, like Sunline, Makyebe Diva,
So You Think and so forth. For minor placings. No 7 Karuta Queen $26 could give
Moody a quinella here. Will be the leader with Caviar shadowing every step of
the way. Could hold on for second. No 3 Spirit of Boom $21 will give his all.
First 4 players, No 2 Luckygray $26 first interstate runs was disappointing but
give a chance.
Best Eachway
Bet: Race 3 - No 5 Chosen Moment $8.50
Best
Outsider: Race 6 - No 11 Tavarnelle $10
Quadrella Numbers: 1,4,5,6 / 2,6,11 / 3,4,6,7,9,12 / 6 for $72 a full unit
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