I am a professional punter living outside Australia. I punt for a living and for years been helping my mates out with my tips. I have friends on the inside and a professional at reading form. I watch 100’s of videos each week to pick my winners.
I only bet on Victorian races. At times when Victorian horses are interstate I will offer tips at those meetings.
I have decided to share my tips, hopefully to help the normal punter win a few bucks on the weekend.
Remember, never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is a problem contact professional help in your state, city or country. Victoria Horse Racing supports responsible gambling initiatives.
Good luck if having a punt and remember to gamble responsibly.
Moonee Valley Saturday 21st August 2010
A slow track with a chance of more rain. Looking for the on pacers and there are some good horses getting around.
Race 1 – No 3 Miles Above $4.20 is racing well and finishing his races off well. Can run forward or sit back. No 4 Crabs $6.50 has found some good form again back in SA and returns to Victoria and will give this a shake. No 1 Tinamou $3.80 is racing so consistently, has been up a long time and must be getting tired.
Race 2 - I am going with the lightly raced No 4 Miss Phromily$4.20 , she is a consistent mare and her last two runs were good but done things wrong and should have been much closer to the winners before winning last start. No 2 Dazzling Rubi $6 last start at Flemington caught stuck in traffic and couldn’t get clear, looked like she will run the 2000mtrs. No 3 Bronislava $18, good trainer and jockey and is a Galileo, so this distance should be what she wants but to date hasn’t won beyond 1615mtrs. No 9 Metung Belle $8.50 is so close to a city win.
Race 3 – No 6 Encosta Belief $4.60 ran a good first up race, gets Nolen back on board, is 2nd up and sure to have trained on. No 9 Overtake $5 returned from his spell with two good wins, last win absolutely smashing his opposition, has been freshened and sure to be a threat. No 12 Devil’s Force $4, last year’s Melbourne Cup day this horse nearly won me a pretty little packet. There was a good go for him late from $41 to $31 and I had $250 each way just following the money. He ran a very close 2nd to Common Interest. First up run was very solid. No 4 Bondarchuck $12 from South Australia ran a good first up race at Flemington, will want the extra 200mtrs and sure to be flying home late.
Race 4 – What a race. No 1 Curtana $2.20 is so hard to go past, looked smart as a 2yo in her 3 starts, she is following in her dad’s footsteps (Exceed and Excel) who as a 3yo won over 1200mtrs G2 Up and Coming, G3 Roman Consul, G1 Dubai Cup 1400mtrs, and of course the Group 1, 1 million dollar Newmarket Handicap over 1200mtrs. No 2 Royal Bender $6 has won her first 3 race starts and surprised me a little. Her breeding suggests she wants it 1600mtrs or longer and is nominated in October in the 1M Caulfield Guineas, and 500K Thousand Guineas over 1600mtrs, it is exciting to see her stepping out over the extra distance here. No 5 Parisian Sunrise $9.50 hit the line flying last start win, the extra metres and having Oliver on board all big pluses. No 3 Miss Gai Flyer $5 has to be respected as very smart to date and well bred.
Race 5 – Another exciting race. Of the two Moody runners and I believe one of them will win this race I am leaning to No 8 Anacheeva $7.50. Has got the perfect barrier, has turn of foot and sure to be well forward. No 7 Achievements $4 the stable mate for sure has run in harder races and been smart and the breeding impeccable, sure to be a huge threat. No 3 In Faith $4.80, just forget his last start and he went around. His other two runs were good wins where he finished very strongly. No 1 Epic Dragon $15 ran 3 lengths to the smart Éclair Mystic over 1200mtrs, in that race was away bad and hampered before running a heck of a race and then went on to record a nice win still doing a lot wrong. No 2 Innocent Gamble $4.80 also has to be respected.
Race 6 – I am going for an outsider here. No 9 Avienus $16 has never run over the 1000mtrs in a race but is a smart horse. Way back in February 2010, she ran a heck of a race against Solchow over 100mtrs. She should have been a lot closer than 2 lengths as no luck in the straight. Then in April 2010 she finished 2.7 lengths to Elumino, in this race was held up on the turn and also ran onto heels and checked when coming home well. No 2 Stanzout $4.40 has 4 starts at the 1000mtrs for a third but is a good sprinter. No 4 Secret Flyer $6.50 has a good record at the distance, track and second up and need to respect. No 3 Gold Salute $4.20 another to never win over 1000mtrs but only 1 start in 25 at the distance. Is smart first up and have to respect.
Race 7 – No 6 Tio Rossa $4.20 has to be respected, 2 wins first up from 2 starts, starts at 1200mtrs for 2 wins, 4 starts at Moonee Valley for 2 wins and a 2nd. The only time she missed being in the money was because she was away badly and then checked off heels that stopped her momentum. No 3 Avionics $9 has run some smart races to be near some very good horses. Will need to be on her game and did win a trial over 950mtrs in decent time on August 2nd. No 2 Viking Turf Belle $7 really likes this track, a bit of a specialist here. Have to respect on that. No 1 Small Minds $16 from Patinak and Tinkler, will be looking for much longer distances but has won over 1200mtrs and 1250mtrs on a heavy at Canterbury. Is a classy horse.
Race 8 – No 9 Ghostmilk $3.10 returns from Sydney and her go at the Winter Stakes where she ran an unlucky 2nd. Was 4 wide on the turn and didn’t get going till late and was absolutely flying late. Has stepped up in distance well with each run and be hard to beat. No 11 Riceman $9.50 I think will run a bit of a race fresh even though his form doesn’t state this. No 1 Pinnacles $6.50 with the 3kg claim is a chance, Since returning from his spell has stepped up the distance and running well. No 5 Chartreux $18 and No 6 Orchestra Stalls $18 for the multiples.
My quaddie numbers are around: 3, 8 / 2, 3, 4, 9 / 1, 2, 3, 6 / 9 at a cost of $32 a full unit.
If you want to know what I am backing, leave a comment and your email. It won’t be published and I will send through my bets and also my best multiples for the day.
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