Saturday 11 December 2010

Flemington Horse Racing Tips Saturday 11th December 2010 Victoria Australia

I am a professional punter living outside Australia. I punt for a living and for years been helping my mates out with my tips. I have friends on the inside and a professional at reading form. I watch 100’s of videos each week to pick my winners.

I only bet on Victorian races. At times when Victorian horses are interstate I will offer tips at those meetings.

I have decided to share my tips, hopefully to help the normal punter win a few bucks on the weekend.

Remember, never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is a problem contact professional help in your state, city or country. Victoria Horse Racing supports responsible gambling initiatives.

Good luck if having a punt and remember to gamble responsibly.

Flemington Horse Racing Tips Saturday 11th December 2010

Sorry I have been a little busy and not had the many hours free it takes to do these form write ups. Each one takes a minimum of 10hrs by the time video is watched and the form scrutinised. Back to the home of racing, a hard day of racing but will try and pick a few winners on top and offer a few outsiders as well. Interstate at Rosehill I have backed in Race 5 No 2 Strike One has had some big money in the early markets of $100,000 @ $2.80 and my friend who put me onto this horse had 30,000 @ $3. I backed him at $2.90 for my biggest outlay this year. You have to follow money like this when it comes along.

Race 1 – 1100mtrs 2yo Plate – 12.45pm

There are a lot of first starters and you must watch the market closely for any movers. Of the raced lot first start winner No 1 Grand Britannia $5 won well on debut, this is down the straight but he knuckled down well and fought hard for tuff win. No 3 Shenanigans $10 ran 3rd in that race against Grand Britannica, looked like he was going to be a big threat but didn’t come on and needed that run and will be better here for sure.

Race 2 – 1630mtrs 3 & 4 yo Handicap 01.25pm

No 10 Marcellus $8 is a good lightweight chance, well bred and will get better with racing and distance. His debut in at Bendigo was very good. No 7 Morley $5.50 is very light and been running well. Is going to be a big threat at this weight. No 5 Nostoppinthemusic $7.50 is running in very good form and must respect. No 4 Belgietto $4.80 has returned with two good wins from the spell and sure to be in the finish.

Race 3 – 1000mtrs 3 & 4 yo Fillies and Mares Handicap – 02.05pm

No 6 Red Belly Black $6.50 won on debut and then failed at the Gold Coast Magic Millions and then pulled up lame at Morphettville and been spelled for 278 days. A lot was expected of this horse and if her injury is right a genuine threat. No 10 Flourishing $3.80 steps up a lot in class from her last start maiden win but also drops a heap of weight in 3.5kgs. Has found the line well last few starts and a good win at Werribee. No 3 Act Of Faith $8.50 has two starts for two wins, last start at MV over the 955mtrs was a good run. No 5 Tango Express $21 could add some good value to the multiples, both wins this preparation been good but this much harder.

Race 4 – 1730mtrs Handicap – 02.45pm

No 4 Aloha $2.40 is short but looks very hard to beat, I have already backed her in the early markets, Price has stepped her up well this preparation and she has had a good break since her last start win. Sure to be in top shape and Boss staying on board a big bonus. No 11 Anavalanche $11 is overs to me as will be better with this distance and has three good runs under the belt this preparation. Needs runs under his belt and sure to be better here. No 5 Overtake $5 is racing well and in a good stable, backing up quickly but respect. No 2 Sadalbari $4.40 will be raring to go here, should be shipshape for this.

Race 5 – 2000mtrs Handicap – 03.25pm

No 8 Interlocking $10 will get back from the inside barrier, if lucky might get a midfield position off the rail. I am confident he will be running home well late in the straight at good odds. No 2 Orchestra Stalls $6.50 gets Nolen on board and last few starts finding the line well and another at good odds. No 1 Fast Future $3.40 deserves the favourite tag but a little short to me, has run well in harder races of late but has a big weight to carry. No 9 Lucky Eighty Eight $5.50 has stepped up in distance each start this preparation and rana cheeky front running win last start.

Race 6 – 1420mtrs 0 – 89 Handicap – 04.05pm

No 13 Tough Future $9 is going to be very light at 52kgs, his runs this preparation show some of his Hobart form before coming across the Tasman. No 15 War Ends $3 is a smart and exciting horse. Is going to be hard to beat for sure. No 14 Voile Rouge $7 is also an exciting horse that I like, should run a big race at this weight. No 2 Bohika $10 won well first up from the spell, doesn’t have a great second up record but is going to be light with the 3kg claim.

Race 7 – 1200mtrs Handicap – 04.45pm

No 5 Offenders $5 first up will be right for this, good record and a nice horse. No 4 Gold In Dubai $4.60 is solid over this distance, last start carried 58.5kgs over the 1200mtrs and could have won that race with more luck. Drops to 53.5kgs here and a chance for sure. No 1 Jungle Ruler $8 is an excellent horse but Flemington not his best hunting ground but have to respect. No 9 Tan Tat Jet $13 on track and second up form you wouldn’t pick but I liked his first up run from the spell and plenty of time to train on from that run.

Race 8 – 1630mtrs Mares 0 – 89 Handicap – 05.25pm

What a hard race to finish. No 5 Bon Marche $9 worked home well last start from a long way back to finish 2nd, Nolen stays on board and a good chance at odds. No 3 Charlie’s Queen $8 has been going okay, definitely not the worse here. No 7 Shelta $26 at these odds could be worth a few dollars each way. First up was working home well late and will get better with more distance, not a good second up record but this is a weak race. No 6 Devil’s Party $6.50 is in decent form with solid runs and a good stable.

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