I am a professional punter living outside Australia. I punt for a living and for years been helping my mates out with my tips. I have friends on the inside and a professional at reading form. I watch 100’s of videos each week to pick my winners.
I only bet on Victorian races. At times when Victorian horses are interstate I will offer tips at those meetings.
I have decided to share my tips, hopefully to help the normal punter win a few bucks on the weekend.
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Good luck if having a punt and remember to gamble responsibly.
Flemington Emirates Stakes Day Horse Racing Tips Saturday 6th November 2010
The track is a dead 4 and the weather fine and on Saturday cloudy so it should improve a little more. The rail is 9mtrs out the entire circuit. Let’s see if we can pick some winners.
Race 1 - $150,000 Hong Kong Jockey Club Maribyrnong Plate (GROUP 3) 1000mtrs – 11.10am
No 1 Masthead $3.80 is out of Written Tycoon who wasn’t a bad sprinter, was 2nd in the San Dominico Stakes behind Media and beating Snitzel into 2nd. First up run was very good as a few things went wrong in the run. No 3 Aashiq $6.50 looked like he needed that run and will be much better for it, once settled ran a good race and was held up late not being able to get clear near the line. No 12 Whitlam $9 from Snowden won its trial and it isn’t often they take their young horses straight to town. Watch markets closely. No 14 Eramor $5 won well first up and is out of Golden Slipper winner Stratum so respect. Watch the markets on No 8 Lieutenant Colonel $15 from Tinkler’s camp.
Race 2 - $100,000 Masterfoods Condiments Plate 1600mtrs – 11.50am
No 8 Launay $4 (If starts) won on Tuesday well, is a big chance going on her win and must respect. No 4 Eraset $4.40 won the Sale Cup strongly, does go back up in weight here but form is very solid. No 13 Willy Jimmy $7.50 ran a very good race first up in Victoria, has had time to train on and will be a chance. No 15 Ruadhan $8 could have easily won his last race with more luck, was away slowly then held up until 50mtrs out and really found the line.
Race 3 - $100,000 7mate Handicap 2000mtrs – 12.35pm
No 6 I’m Imposing $3.10, both his runs have been very good since coming across from Britain. A good win at Caulfield then a good run against Macedonian just tiring a little late. No 5 Laristan $5 comes across from France into Hayes stable is smart first up winning over 1900mtrs before. No 3 Red Colossus $2.90 was just over 6 lengths off So You Think in the Mackinnon, drops 3kgs and will be right in this. No 1 Playwright $9 has a good record at the distance and track and is in good form.
Race 4 - $150,000 Hilton Hotels Stakes (LISTED) 1400mtrs – 01.20pm
No 4 Bigelow $4.60 won well at Moonee Valley last start, is out of Al Maher so this distance not a problem. Has finished races off well and a good chance here. No 1 Territory $3.50 is up in weight but is pretty smart and will give this a shake. No 5 Chasse $9 will need to step up here but breeding suggests he can run faster than he has to date. No 10 Toolbag $15 is really well bred and I think will improve a lot on the better track. First race found the line well before falling on a heavy Caulfield track. For multiples keep No 2 That’s Not It $4 safe. P.S I had in my blackbook No 11 Handsome Hero $19 as I really liked his last start. I will have something each way on him but is way up in class here.
Race 5 - $750,000 Patinack Farm Classic (GROUP 1) 1200mtrs – 02.05pm
I have been waiting for this match up for a long time. Black Caviar against Hay List and sadly the very talented Star Witness just gets a mention. No 6 Black Caviar $1.60 (I backed at $1.80, opened and then moved in after 5 minutes.) This horse is special and if you watch all of her runs as I have this week you see how special she is. No 2 Hay List $3.20 will go head to head with Black Caviar for sure and I do hope it is a great battle but the form to me is all for Black Caviar. No 7 Star Witness $10 returned to form in the Coolmore Stud Stakes, won in good time, drops weight and will be tempting to punters. No 5 Ortensia $21 first up will be running home hard and for first 4.
Race 6 - $1,000,000 Emirates Stakes (GROUP 1) 1600mtrs – 02.55pm
This is a really hard race with many genuine chances as you can see in the betting at $6.50 the field. No 1 Black Piranha $12 I think is excellent value, you look at his last 5 runs and they have all been around the mark against smart horses. No 9 Drumbeats $8.50 is 5 runs back this preparation and his Crystal Mile run I really liked. This horse came from barrier 20 in the Doncaster to finish 4th just off Rangirangdoo. No 3 Wall Street $6.50 ran a solid Cox Plate run, first start in Australia was a hard race and will only have improved. No 4 Captain Sonador $12 back in distance and better suited over the 1600mtrs and I think will run a good race. Also No 8 Trusting $11 for the multiples.
Race 7 - $300,000 Matriarch Stakes (GROUP 2) 2000mtrs – 03.40pm
No 16 River Bypass $21 is really running well, drops plenty of weight and I think an excellent value bet. No 1 Purple $4.60 doesn’t have the best barrier, is so consistent and will run ahuge race. No 7 Moment in Time $7 came home well late last start, didn’t have an easy run but wound up well. No 9 Delta Gee $12 was much better last start, back to the form she showed in Belmont. Put No 2 Lady Lynette $8.50 for multiples.
Race 8 - $250,000 Queen's Cup (GROUP 3) 2600mtrs – 04.25pm
No 11 Exceptionally $6.50 has drawn wide and will need a little luck to tuck in one off the rail handy, I have had this horse in my blackbook for a few runs now and just been coming up short but really finding the line well. No 4 Eastern Africa $8.50 first start on Australian soil, out of the very strong Godolphin stable and has some very good form back home so watch markets. No 1 Drunken Sailor $10 is another international horse with good form back home, his Geelong Cup run wasn’t so bad and will be better for it. Go wide in the multiples with No 7 Moudre $3.50 and No 12 Mr. Charlie $9.
Race 9 - $125,000 Emirates Airline Handicap 1400mtrs – 05.10pm
No 3 We’re Gonna Rock $2.25 has been racing in much harder races. His run in the Toorak was very good, was held up before finding the line well, then last start was taken out about 100mtrs out and lost all momentum. Is racing well and will be very hard to beat. No 2 Berringama $6.50 from Brian Cox will again give his all and run a heck of a race. No 7 Okay Oky $11 has been running good races, Symons is a good jockey and will give a good run. No 12 Lady Gaga $9.50 won well first up from her spell and ran away from them so the extra metres look to suit.
It is a very hard quadrella for me. I am looking at:
For value: 1,3,4,9 / 1,7,16 / 1,4,11 / 2,3 at a cost of $72
Or
1,3,4,8,9 / 1,2,7,9,16 / 1,3,4,11,12 / 2,3,7,12 at a cost of $500
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