I am a professional punter living outside Australia. I punt for a living and for years been helping my mates out with my tips. I have friends on the inside and a professional at reading form. I watch 100’s of videos each week to pick my winners.
I only bet on Victorian races. At times when Victorian horses are interstate I will offer tips at those meetings.
I have decided to share my tips, hopefully to help the normal punter win a few bucks on the weekend.
Remember, never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is a problem contact professional help in your state, city or country. Victoria Horse Racing supports responsible gambling initiatives.
Good luck if having a punt and remember to gamble responsibly.
Crown Oaks Day Flemington Thursday 4th November 2010
It’s another hard day on the punt with big fields and some good horses going around. The track looks like it will be slow. A lot of these horses are also nominated for Saturday as well so expect some scratchings.
Race 1 - $100,000 La Vie En Rose Vase 1800mtrs – 11.10am
No 3 Cosmocrat $8.50 was scratched from an easier race last Friday at Moonee Valley so Mick Price is confident, he has two solid runs back from the spell and was finding the line very well last start. No 13 Viallico $31 is racing well this preparation, has 5 solid runs coming into this and drops a heap of weight as well. No 5 Vesper $3.20 got too far back in the Sale Cup, there was a late go for him in the markets and he did work home well. No 6 Cyclone Al $7 ran a good last start working home well and then fighting hard, drops weight and will be fitter.
Race 2 - $150,000 Crown Promenade Stakes (LISTED) 1100mtrs – 11.50am
No 18 Jerezana $5 if she gets a start a big chance as really showed some class last preparation. No 9 About Ready $8 has run excellent races against Doubtful Jack and Avenue, then won well laying in. Has had a good break and will be fresh and fit. No1 Tallow $10 can sprint but will get better with distance, has a bad barrier but down the centre of the track may be a good thing. This horse ran a huge race in the Magic Millions and I think 1400mtrs or more will be perfect for her. No 2 Very Discreet $16 is a smart horse and if you watch her runs against Rostova and Velocitea you would see this. No 7 Netra $18 will be leading more than likely has early speed and will have to be run down.
Race 3 - $100,000 The G.H. Mumm 1700mtrs – 12.35pm
No 14 Be Savvy $41 out of Cox Plate winner and runner up of the Victorian Derby, Savabeel looked a much better horse coming back from the 271 day break. Is bred for distance and the way she worked home first up looks like she will be better the further it gets. No 5 Frenetica $10 beat Be Savvy last start and was a good win but I think Be Savvy is better bred for this. No 3 Very Cherry $4.60 if starts here is a chance and backing up from the Wakeful, lead there until weakening and coming back in distance better suited for me. No 1 Aintnofallenstar $11 out of the very smart horse Starcraft didn’t put her best forward last start and forgive, is better than this and respect.
Race 4 - $150,000 Gucci Stakes (LISTED) 1200mtrs – 01.20pm
No 3 Lone Rock $13 can forgive the race 2 starts back as had atrial fibrillation, came back with a rock solid run as at the 1000mtr mark become unbalanced when easing off heels, got her head up when trying to restrain her around the 600mtr mark and raced wide all the way. If you watch her races she looks pretty smart. No 1 Chance Bye $10 ran a very good race at Moonee Valley back in September, should have finished closer as had to be eased off heels late when making ground. Won her trial at Kembla Grange is smart time on the 20th of October and will only have bot better since then. No 8 Wonderful Lass $17 comes down from Brisbane and watching her races she has been really working home well late, has excellent finishing speed and usually goes back but I am sure Winks will have her shaken up and closer to the lead here. No 5 Celts $5 is over from Randwick and I like her last two runs where she has really fought hard to win. A lot of guts like her dad Lonhro. No 6 Curtana $3.80 is a little short to me, a smart horse and this much easier than the Coolmore which she rana great race in.
Race 5 - $100,000 TCL Electronics Plate 1400mtrs – 02.05pm
No 5 Zaira $3.50 (special) failed at her only heavy start but that was her first ever race run and she lead a long way until fading. Since then has become a nice racehorse. Hawkes has really picked her races well and will take some running down. No 14 Dead End $4 won on debut well, is bred for further and has dropped 5kgs so respect. No 12 Libby’s Daughter $10 comes into this running well after a long break and drops in weight. No 3 Translation $13 for multiples.
Race 6 - $1,000,000 Crown Oaks(GROUP 1) 2500mtrs – 02.55pm
No 2 Brazilian Pulse $2.90 is short but this horse has looked very good since starting her career, her win in the Wakeful was very impressive, and is going to be hard to beat for sure in this form. No 5 Precious Lorraine $6, if you look at her form you wouldn’t give her a chance but she is a very nice horse. Forget her Henry Bucks and Edward Manifold Stakes as she does have excuses for these runs and last start in the AAMI Vase against Rekindled Interest was a huge runs, watch the race and you will know why. No 6 Sasa $4.80 came from a long way back last start and finished the race off well, bred to handle this. No 8 Dizlago $10 is also a horse with excuses in a few of her runs, is better than last start. An outsider for multiples No 4 Heartsareforlove $21.
Race 7 - $150,000 Myer Spring Fashion Stakes (LISTED) 1800mtrs – 03.40pm
No 2 Zubbaya $4 is in good form and looks hard to beat here. Comes off a very good win where she strode to the line. No 9 Domesky $8 has really found the line well his two starts back from the spell. Drops weight and should run the distance out. No 3 Backgammon $5.50 only has one win in seven starts but look at his races has been around the mark against some good horses. No 6 Absolutelyawsome $7 is racing well and a good chance at the places.
Race 8 - $150,000 Swisse Vitamins Stakes (LISTED) 1100mtrs – 04.25pm
It is hard to go past the favourite No 7 Avenue $4, last two wins have been very good hitting the line hard to win well. Has been freshened well for this and will take some beating. No 4 Arinos $17 I think is way over the odds, he ran a short head to Starspangledbanner in February. No 1 First Command $9 has got plenty of weight but can carry it and will be in this a long way. No 2 Rightfully Yours $9 is very consistent and will run a solid race.
Race 9 – $100,000 The Grazia Ultimate Style Guide 1600mtrs - 05.10pm
No 8 Niblick $3.50 is hard to go past as he is shaping to be a decent horse for Williams, Crown casino owner. The way he won last start was eye catching as raced ungenerously early before really finishing off well. No 16 Beijing Bolt $12 I liked his run against The Comedian last start, fought really hard to the line. No 17 Okuma $71 is a big outsider but will run this distance out and first up wasn’t such a bad run. No 2 Lakedro $4.40 is in good form and will give this a big shake.
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