Friday 2 September 2011

Flemington Horse Racing Tips Saturday 3rd September 2011 Victoria Australia

I am a professional punter living outside Australia. I punt for a living and for years been helping my mates out with my tips. I have friends on the inside and a professional at reading form.

I watch 100’s of videos each week to pick my winners. I only bet on Victorian races. At times when Victorian horses are interstate I will offer tips at those meetings. I have decided to share my tips, hopefully to help the normal punter win a few bucks on the weekend.

Remember, never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is a problem contact professional help in your state, city or country. Victoria Horse Racing supports responsible gambling initiatives. Good luck if having a punt and remember to gamble responsibly.

Flemington Horse Racing Tips Victoria Australia

Race 1 – 1100mtrs 3yo Fillies Handicap (Listed SW with penalties– 12.45pm

I agree with markets here and I have already backed No 5 Celebrity Girl $2.10. A very nice debut, very good win and looks like she could be a handy horse. No 3 Star Salute $4.80 in the powerful Moody camp needs to be respected. A big win last start as if you watch the race was tightened badly at the start and settled last. She usually races on the speed. She knuckled down in the straight and hit the line well for a good win. No 6 Ervbefel $4.80 is better than last start, she came out last and if you read the stewards report you see why. I have watched her other three runs and she is nice. For multiple players go wide and include No 8 Platelet $21 and No 4 Aomaru Rose $15.

Race 2 – 1400mtrs 3yo Handicap (Listed SW with penalties) – 01.20pm

A very open race, a big field and many possibilities in the running. I cannot go past No 8 That’s The One $3.60 after watching both wins to date a few times it is hard to go past him. Was freshened and had a trial last week and won that as well and looks the goods here. No 14 Specter $15 settled back last start and then worked home well. Looks like extra metres will suit. No 11 Chase The Rainbow $15 has drawn the outside but will come in with scratching. Last two wins on the synthetic have been solid. No 15 Dontmentionthewar $15 a great name, also drawn wide but looks a handy horse watching both of his runs.

Race 3 – 1400mtrs 4yo & up Handicap (Listed) – 02.00pm

This is a very hard race. No 7 Bullbars $8 will get back and the big field a worry as there will be plenty of traffic but he will be running home hard, there is pace in this race and this will suit him. No 8 Dreamaway $10 has come across from Perth and set for the Melbourne Cup. Have to respect Perth form but follow over further. No 14 Niblick $4.80 goes well fresh and will get better over distance.

Race 4 – 1200mtrs 3yo Danehill Stakes (Group 2 set weights) – 02.40pm

If you have a house put it on No 1 Sepoy $1.20 as he will not be beaten. No 7 Mosheen $8 returns to open company and drops weight. A decent first up run and really looked good the last 150mtrs. No 2 Masthead $26 first up and goes well fresh. No 8 Hallowelle Belle $8 is light and a nice filly.

Race 5 – 1400mtrs 4yo & up Mares Let’s Elope Stakes (Group 2 set weights) – 03.20pm

Another tough race and I am going with No 7 Parables $3.40 as her run back from the spell was good. Couldn’t get clear running in the straight and late and really knuckled down the last 200mtrs working home the best of anything. No 8 Mid Summer Music $9 drawn wide but does have speed. A few inside her also speedy so she could get stuck a little wide, have to wait and see. No 13 Biancon Rose $8.50 is racing well but the worry is the barrier as she can be slowly away and might get pocketed away. Multiple players will have to go very wide and include No 3 Lady Lynette $15, No 6 Pinker Pinker $7.50 and No 5 Do Ra Mi $11.

Race 6 – 1600mtrs Makybe Diva Stakes (Group 2 WFA) – 04.00pm

No 16 Lights Of Heaven $1.70
should have won last start against Whobegotyou but a poor ride by the jockey cost dearly. I backed on Wednesday and she has shortened but cannot see anything beating her. No 8 Glass Harmonium $5.50 has finally been brought to Melbourne by Moroney. Since hitting Australian shores solid and sure to be in the mix. No 14 Playing God $6 a Perth horse with proven group form returns to Melbourne and has a good first up run under the belt. No 7 At First Sight $51 not a bad Australian debut, led till the 400mtrs. Will get better with distance.

Race 7 – 1200mtrs 4yo & up Bobby Lewis Quality Handicap (Group 3) – 04.40pm

I think this is a much harder sprint race than markets suggest. No 12 Bel Sprinter $3.40 for sure is the one to beat. Has won 4 from 4 and last start another solid win in listed company but here I can see some real speed early on, more than he has had before. Will have to wait and see. No 14 Dubleanny $5.50 returns and track, distance and first up record hard to go past. I watched her trial win and she looks great. No 2 Torak Toff $16 first up at this track have to respect. No 17 Offenders $23 was hammering home late last start.

Race 8 – 2000mtrs Handicap – 05.20pm

I think the favourite here is just too short but we will find out tomorrow. No 4 December Draw $1.90 looks hard to beat on the form he has shown in Australia and stepping out to 2000mtrs and beyond all bonuses. No 13 White Universe $9.50 is light here back in open company. I think a serious light weight threat. No 2 Indikator $14 last run at Caulfield was strong, was backed well late. No 8 Lakedro $9 finding the line well late last start.

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