Sunday 1 January 2012

Flemington Horse Racing Tips Monday 2nd January 2012 Victoria Australia

I am a professional punter living outside Australia. I punt for a living and for years been helping my mates out with my tips. I have friends on the inside and a professional at reading form.

I watch 100’s of videos each week to pick my winners. I only bet on Victorian races. At times when Victorian horses are interstate I will offer tips at those meetings. I have decided to share my tips, hopefully to help the normal punter win a few bucks on the weekend.

Remember, never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is a problem contact professional help in your state, city or country. Victoria Horse Racing supports responsible gambling initiatives. Good luck if having a punt and remember to gamble responsibly.

Flemington Horse Racing Tips Victoria Australia

My $100 in bets yesterday were $50 the win in Race 5 No 2 Glacier King (saluted at $5) and race 7 No 3 Selingkuh (never a chance). So now we have invested $600 for a clear profit of $460 after 6 days. Today’s $100 is going on race 8 No 11 Diamond Diggler for the win at $3.00.

Race 1 – 1000mtrs 0 – 82 Handicap – 11.50am

An open race to start the day for me. No 11 Star Of Giselle $3.80 is the standout for me. She really matured last preparation and even her run in the G3 Cockram Stakes was good as she was ready to be spelled. Returns here and very handy at the weights in open company. No 14 Ravenous Lass $8 is very light carrying 51kgs and is racing very well this preparation. Will lead and take a lot to run down at this weight. No 6 Rorke’s Drift $11 is another with a 3kg claim and all three runs this preparation have been very good. No 9 Strike The Tiger $5.50 this was a good run back from the spell as on the home bend got taken out and had to check badly off heels but really flattened out well the last 100mtrs.

Race 2 – 1800mtrs 3yo & up Fillies & Mares 0 – 82 Handicap – 12.25pm

This is a race in two and even though a 4.5kg turnaround since they last met I have to go with No 4 Power O’Raylee $2.20 as she has been winning well. Moody doesn’t engage an apprentice so confident she carry the weight to the line and that is enough for me. No 5 Chaparral Lass $4.20 both runs since coming across from NZ have been very good. It is the barrier again here as she will drift back and may need a little luck with clear running but for sure will come home strongly. No 7 Mythical $11 is another NZ horse and last couple of starts since stepping out to the mile and 9 furlongs looked a lot better. I am looking forward to seeing as she could be more than handy. No 2 Enchanting Waters $18 last couple of starts have been very good especially last start against in form Full Peal.

Race 3 – 1400mtrs 3yo & up Fillies & Mares 0 – 82 Handicap – 01.00pm

As I was doing the form for this race the other day I really struggled as this is so competitive and the markets showed this with $6 the field. I am going for value and backed No 3 Seduced $12 at better odds as she returned from a long spell and it wasn’t a bad run as she was slowly away and just ground it out. Weir backs her up quickly and I am sure she will have tightened up from the run. No 15 Terpsichore $6 the current favourite is also a good chance here. She drops weight with the class rise and an excellent run last start as she was over-racing early had to ease off heels but down the straight really wound up and stretched out really well. No 12 Creed $12 only carrying 51kgs with the claim. She is going to lead and will be fitter and last start if you watch the race she was under pressure a long way out but really dug deep right to the line. No 13 Louisville Dancer $8 she is still a better horse than what we have seen and if they can get her right she is a big threat for me.

Race 4 – 2800mtrs The Bagot Handicap (listed race) – 01.35pm

No 7 Supremacy $6
is another Kiwi horse that had his first start and a great ride by Froggy Newitt and he really found the line well and should run it right out on that run. No 6 Unchain My Heart $10 cannot fault form of late and she is at a very good weight for this race. No 2 Persian Star $4.60 with her stablemate nominated keeps her well down in the weights and she is bound to be better than her first few runs this preparation. No 12 Crafty Cruiser $18 comes in nice at the weights and has been racing well and a light weight chance for multiple players.

Race 5 – 1200mtrs Standish Handicap (group 3) – 02.10pm

I am going for a little bit of value here in No 12 Cascabel $10 as his last two starts have been very good. The worry is he is slow away from the barriers so will have horses in front of him but if he has some luck and a clear run a big chance for me. No 9 Stirling Grove $5 has been freshened and on his day a very handy horse. Another that gets back and will need a little luck with clear running but need to respect. No 1 Catapulted $5 is a class horse and can carry weight and must respect. No 6 Rocking Force $11 didn’t have his extra gear last start and didn’t come on like usual but respect and keep safe in multiples.

Race 6 – 1400mtrs Open Handicap – 02.45pm

An open race here for me. No 6 At The Heads $4.80 is my best pick by a whisker. O’Brien has been patient with him this preparation. Comes in good at the weights here for me and can really run a smart race and this preparation has looked good. No 10 Lethal Arrow $13 is more than likely going to lead with Population and Jungle Ruler (if starts). I don’t see a lot of other speed in the race and if can get a cheap run up front could take some running down. No 3 By The Way $6 a big surprise win last start and on that run need to respect. No 9 Volando $13 will be better for the run back from the spell and handy at this weight.

Race 7 – 1400mtrs 3 & 4yo 0 – 78 Handicap – 03.20pm

After doing the form I wasn’t surprised to see both my top choices that I have in front by a bit to be the favourites but they are they are only ones under $10 in the markets. No 11 Diamond Diggler $3 is short but I cannot see him getting out in the markets. But again this horse could have won all three starts as his only loss had no luck. Last start was impressive the way he won and going on that the extra metres will really suit. No 6 Flyingconi $5.50 the worry is the barrier as gets back and might get pocketed but is sure to be coming home well. No 1 Chasse $15 keep safe in multiples as can carry weight and first up run was good. No 3 Lonhreign $11 is another that is going to get back and come home late and might need some luck with clear running.

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