I am a professional punter living outside Australia. I punt for a living and for years been helping my mates out with my tips. I have friends on the inside and a professional at reading form. I watch 100’s of videos each week to pick my winners.
I only bet on Victorian races. At times when Victorian horses are interstate I will offer tips at those meetings.
I have decided to share my tips, hopefully to help the normal punter win a few bucks on the weekend.
Remember, never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is a problem contact professional help in your state, city or country. Victoria Horse Racing supports responsible gambling initiatives.
Good luck if having a punt and remember to gamble responsibly.
Flemington Races Saturday 4th September 2010
What a day of racing at Flemington, a very hard card but I will try and point you in the right direction. Some very nice horses running around. The track is going to be a worry. The last reading at 4pm on Friday was a “Dead 4” but the rain has been tumbling down since then and also the forecast is for very heavy rain overnight and tomorrow. I am doing my ratings on a track that will be slow to heavy.
Race 1 – No 4 Miss Gai Flyer $12 will head to the outside fence from this barrier, she did have a shocker last start on the slow track but should handle it and the only time Nolen has ridden she won. No 9 Pinker Pinker $8 has only had two race starts, and both have been against nothing special but she is out of Reset who was smart and Reset is out of Zabeel so very good breeding and I am giving a chance. No 7 Shiny and New $10 must be respected, a solid record, handles the wet and is light. No 5 Warm Love $31 came back with a shocker of a race and just forget. Form before this very solid and give a chance.
Race 2 – No 1 Precious Lorraine $8.50 from barrier 1 at this early stage shouldn’t be a worry. Is sure to be forward for this first up run. I am very impressed with her last win where she was away terribly but flew home out wide. She will need to jump well or could be locked away on the rail. No 10 Meredith $5.50, I don’t like form on the synthetic track of Geelong but breeding and the way he hit the line is hard not to like. No 2 Censor $4.40 is unbeaten after 3 starts, is running very well and can handle a very heavy track. No 4 The Ruffian $6.50 returned from the spell with a very eye catching run, really hit the line well and the extra metres will suit for sure.
Race 3 – No 3 Fairygem $9 had a terrible race last start and just forget, is a smart stayer and sure to be much fitter and with the stable’s top jockey on board sure to be a chance. No 7 Macedonian $10 the stable mate I also think a big chance. Last start was slowly into stride and nearly put his nose on the ground in the straight, will be working home hard late. No 2 Zoomin $4 will be coming down the outside hard for sure. No 6 Miles Above $3.80 the favourite is a very nice stayer, has Lindop on board not my favourite jockey but must respect.
Race 4 – No 5 Linton has my early money on him. Is $2.50 fixed at the moment and this seems short from barrier 19 but will come in with scratchings and looks like a very smart horse in the making. Out of Galileo who won 6 from 6 and looks like he will follow in his dad’s footsteps and be a smart galloper. No 8 Savquaw $15 has excellent wet track form and is racing well. No 7 Delayedreaction $26 last start just never got going, is a much better horse and sure to be in the placings here. No 14 Syndrome $15 has a good first up record, and well on the wet.
Race 5 – No 9 No Evidence Needed $14 ran some very solid races against smart horses last preparation. Finished ¾ a length off Faint Perfume over 1400mtrs here and that is good form to me. Is out of Shamardal who won his only 2 starts on a slow track but to date hasn’t raced well on wet tracks. No 5 Lady Lynette $4.60 returned with a solid run and was really working home well towards the line, the extra metres will suit and a big threat. No 1 Irish Lights $11 is a nice mare that has just met too many smart horses to date. She was really coming home late last start and wouldn’t surprise me to see her win this. No 6 Response $4.60 ran a solid first up race and was run down late on the line, much fitter now and again will be out in front.
Race 6 – What a race with all attention on No 2 Military Rose $4.60 in her first race in Melbourne I believe she is too much of a risk against the boys at this weight on possibly a very heavy track. If it is heavy she won’t start. My pick is No 1 Star Witness $3.80 as his Talindert and Blue Diamond wins he was flying home. Returned to racing and got away slowly before finally finding his feet to finish just off the winner. No 11 Storm Burst $13 the only other filly in the race is very light, she has a good turn of foot and could be a huge upset. No 3 Buffering $6 is a Queensland horse with solid form and must respect.
Race 7 – No 9 Vigor $5.50 has an excellent track, distance and second up record. Have to respect on these numbers. No 15 Monaco Consul $8.50 will like the extra metres and ran a good race on a track that didn’t suit leaders. No 16 Chartreux $31 is up in weight but will get better with distance and I think will run a cheeky race. No 4 Danleigh $3.60 for sure is the smartest horse in the field but willing to risk as 2 starts for nothing at Flemington. Keep No 1 Shocking $21 safe for the multiples.
Race 8 – I am going with the Victorian horse No 5 Doubtful Jack $3.70 (I backed early at $4.50), this is his biggest test against the very smart Sydney galloper No 2 Love Conquers All $2, I really hope these two horses are a head to head battle but the Victorian edges ahead. For the multiples No 12 We’re Gonna Rock $7.50, No 4 Life to the Full $31 and No 8 Beltrois $14.
Race 9 – No 3 Fanjura $3.80 won both starts since coming across from England. Is up in weight but carried weights up to 61kgs back in England. Looks like a smart horse that could win some nice races this spring a little later on. No 16 Rundle $5 is lightly raced and could surprise here first up after winning 3 of his first four starts. No 8 Makeadreamcometrue $ 7.50 hasn’t won in a while but has a chance to get some money in the places here. For an outsider in the multiples No 2 Capecross $41.
My Quadrella numbers for tomorrow are:
1,2 / 1,4,9,15,16 / 2,5 / 2,3,4,8,16,17 at a cost of $120 for a full unit.
Interstate at Randwick Race 4 horse No 1 Parables I backed with a large wager at $2.90 and is now into $2.30 on some markets. This horse won really impressively after being miles back, and then ran on the worst part of the track still making ground before absolutely motoring home over the last 150mtrs or so. My bet of the day.
Race 5 – I have also backed No 2 Metal Bender $2.70 to beat No 1 – Theseo $3.40 again.
If you want to know what I am backing, leave a comment and your email. It won’t be published and I will send through my bets and also my best multiples for the day.
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