Friday 22 October 2010

Moonee Valley Tatts Cox Plate Horse Racing Tips Saturday 23rd October 2010.

I am a professional punter living outside Australia. I punt for a living and for years been helping my mates out with my tips. I have friends on the inside and a professional at reading form. I watch 100’s of videos each week to pick my winners.

I only bet on Victorian races. At times when Victorian horses are interstate I will offer tips at those meetings.

I have decided to share my tips, hopefully to help the normal punter win a few bucks on the weekend.

Remember, never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is a problem contact professional help in your state, city or country. Victoria Horse Racing supports responsible gambling initiatives.

Good luck if having a punt and remember to gamble responsibly.

Moonee Valley Tatts Cox Plate Horse Racing Tips Saturday 23rd October 2010

What a day of racing and some excellent horse going around, see if we can pad the wallet a little.

Race 1 – 1000mtrs – 12.35pm – All first starters bar 1, so breeding and trial form needs to be looked at. Watch the markets closely. The favourite No 11 Pensive Dream $3.80 is out of Choisir and he won all 3 starts over the 1000mtrs including the G1 Lightning and the G2 Kings Stand at Royal Ascot. Is in the hands of Gillian Heinrich an excellent trainer and I expect to be a good horse. No 1 Aashiq $12 is also well bred as is No 2 Artic Command $10. Best of all watch markets very closely.

Race 2 – 1600mtrs – 01.20pm – No 7 Absolutely $6 I liked her first up run, she really came out of the ground late and is going to be much better for that run. No 4 Follonica $7.50 ran a very good race last start, was back last before going wide on the turn and working home very well, the extra metres will suit. No 1 Amber Waltz $3.30 has been running in much harder races, but will need to be at best to win this and a favourite to risk. No 3 Zubbaya $5 has 4 good runs back from the spell and a very good chance here.

Race 3 – 1200mtrs – 02.05pm – This is an open race. No 7 Dutchy’s Lass $5 is stepping up to a G3, but I like this horse. This is a hard race but this horse will lead and give them something to chase down. No 5 Multahem $6 is well bred and drops back to 1200mtrs, this horse has found the line well his two starts and will be coming home hard again. No 3 The Ruffian $9 went down a head to Anacheeva over 1200mtrs returning from the spell, last two runs hasn’t found the line well but the better track will help. No 2 Lone Rock $4.80 forget last start, pulled up with Atrial fibrillation, before this was very solid.

Race 4 – No 2 Drumbeats $7 will be much fitter now, he ran 1.8 lengths to Rangirangdoo over 1600mtrs in April in the Doncaster coming from barrier 20 to finish 4th. His three runs this preparation have all been good. No 4 La Rocket $26 is a good outsider for me, this horse usually takes a few runs to get to peak fitness, can run this distance. No 6 Sound Journey $12 has been stepped up in distance really well by Kavanagh this preparation. Was solid last start to the line. For multiples No 9 Snow Alert $21 and No 3 Gold Salute $8.50.

Race 5 – 1200mtrs – 03.20pm – This race will be won by No 6 Black Caviar $1.55, nothing will beat her as her only rival Haylist pulled out with an apparent elevated temperature earlier in the week denying us the showdown. No 4 Hot Danish $4 is a smart horse just look at her record but she will find this horse too good. No 1 Eagle Falls $11 ran a very good first up run against Haylist, this distance and second up very solid record. For multiples the other 3 for the first 4.

Race 6 – 2040mtrs – 04.00pm – No 7 Rekindled Interest $4.20 ran a huge race last start, blundered the start and was 14th at the 400mtr mark before really coming home hard to finish 6 lengths away. No 4 Smokin Joey $4.50 is finding the line well, has a much better barrier than last start and should get a lot better cart in the race, a big chance. No 14 Precious Lorraine $26 haven’t been anything to wrote home about, but last start didn’t have a great race with a lot of trouble throughout the run. Is a much better horse than that. No 3 Shadows in the Sun $9.50 may find this a little long but did find the line well last start for the win over 1600mtrs. For multiples go wide with No 8 Shoot Off $15 and No 5 Bullbars $7.

Race 7 – 2500mtrs – 04.40pm – No 1 Capecover $11 will get back last and then need luck on this track, but will be coming home hard for sure. No 2 Precedence $2.50 is the short favourite, for sure you need to respect but I think venerable. No 3 Jessicabeel $8.50 has 3 runs under the belt, sure to be fully fit and another that will be finishing on from the back. No 5 Above Average $9 was doing best work late on the line last start.

Race 8 – 2040mtrs Tatts Cox PlateNo 5 So You Think $1.45 is going to be impossible to beat on form, this horse has taken everything in his stride this preparation. Won this race last year carrying 49.5kgs and cannot see him being beaten. No 10 More Joyous $7.50 is a smart horse but this will show how good she is. No 2 Whobegotyou $16 and No 6 Shootout $11 for multiples.

Race 9 – 1600mtrs – 06.20pm – Emergency No 16 Zantelagh $8.50 if she gets a start is a big chance. Is light and racing very well. Last start was away awkwardly before settling midfield, was held up in the turn before finishing very strongly for a good win. No 4 Ghostmilk $10 was unlucky last start as just couldn’t get clear in the straight, is a smart horse that will head to the paddock after this. No 15 Preventable $7 is going very well and this is a step up in grade must respect. No 1 Katie Lee $4.20 the NZ horse is favourite and deserves to be. Form is excellent but I want to see. Watch markets. Throw No 2 Lady Lynette $9.50 into the multiples.

If you want to know what I am backing, leave a comment and your email. It won’t be published and I will send through my bets and also my best multiples for the day.

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1 comment:

  1. Hi. I know you only do Melbourne races, I focus on metropolitan meets only with my selections. I've been comparing my Melbourne selections to the ones above which are quite different. They are as follows:-

    MR4 #7 Conquering
    MR9 #13 Delta Gee

    Delta Gee came a close 2nd and paid me a handsome $10 for the place which put me up for the day.

    It would be interesting to get in touch with you to discuss our various methods in picking our selections.

    Cheers

    Michael.

    ReplyDelete