Friday 20 May 2011

Flemington Horse Racing Tips Saturday 21st May 2011

I am a professional punter living outside Australia. I punt for a living and for years been helping my mates out with my tips. I have friends on the inside and a professional at reading form.

I watch 100’s of videos each week to pick my winners. I only bet on Victorian races. At times when Victorian horses are interstate I will offer tips at those meetings. I have decided to share my tips, hopefully to help the normal punter win a few bucks on the weekend.

Remember, never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is a problem contact professional help in your state, city or country. Victoria Horse Racing supports responsible gambling initiatives. Good luck if having a punt and remember to gamble responsibly.

Flemington Horse Racing Tips

Race 1 – 1000mtrs 2yo Handicap – 11.55am

No 1 African Pulse $2.10 won on the heavy track on debut at Sandown. Looked nice and a god win as looked headed but pulled away again late. Should be better on top of the ground as well and if anything like his dad could be a very nice horse in the making. No 12 Passilente $5.50 (nom Wed) returns from her spell, won her only race start and looked good finding the line well at Cranbourne. Watch markets for support. No 2 Chamandi $12 on debut at Flemington not a bad run as did have some early trouble, then went to Morphettville and won well. Should be a little bigger here and I expect a nice horse. Watch the markets on the first starters.

Race 2 – 1600mtrs 3yo Handicap – 12.30pm

No 4 Fawkner $4 (nom Wed, Thur
) is nominated next week but if starts need to respect as two starts for two wins and looks a nice horse. No 5 Lonhreign $7.50 has been stepping up in grade well, last start did have some trouble in the running, was tightened at the start and hampered badly and lost a lot of ground. On the turn shifted out as well so a good run. No 6 Mr Bisset $13 steps way up in grade compared to last start win but looked good winning. No 1 Pitt Street $10 a good on the pace win last start and could repeat here

Race 3 – 1300mtrs 2yo Gibson Carmichael Stakes – 01.05pm

No 4 Haut Normandie $5
was very green last start, was very touchy at the gates and also green in the running needing to be straightened a few times. Looked nice, a god action. No 11 Torah $9.50 I think is way over the odds as had excuses last two runs and doesn’t look too bad of a horse. No 5 Euryale $3.60 went from debut win at Sandown to a very good run at Flemington really finding the line well late. Looked good and will run this out. No 3 Berenger $3.80 does step up in class here compared to last two starts but does look a nice horse.

Race 4 – 2000mtrs Handicap – 01.40pm

No 8 December Draw $7.50
first race run in Australia was a nice win, does step out to the 2000mtrs and if Baster can get a good sit a cart a chance at nice odds. No 1 Tinamou $5.50 is racing well, if takes the form of last two starts here will be in the finish. No 2 Zoomin $14 I expect a much better horse here, is better than recent form suggests and could salute at juicy odds. No 5 Kutchinsky $6.50 gets the blinkers back on here and cannot dismiss as a multiples chance.

Race 5 – 1200mtrs Henry Bucks Straight Six (Listed) Handicap - 02.16pm

No 4 Dubleanny $2.30 (special
) is by far the standout and class horse here for me and this shows in the markets. I backed her as soon as early markets opened. No 2 Diplomatic Force $7.50 is better than last two starts, keep safe in multiples. No 10 Liveandletdie $6.50 has improved remarkably last two starts, drifted and no support last start but ran a good race and ran over about the 150mtr mark. Fought hard and drops back in distance suits. No 5 Beltrois $12 goes well 2nd up, has trialed again and will be ready to go here.

Race 6 – 3200mtrs Andrew Ramsden Stakes (listed) Handicap – 02.51pm

Again the class horse is short here. No 1 Niwot $3.90 returned from a long 86 week break. Really needed the first two runs and then returned to his old form. A nice win here at Flemington and then went to the Warrnambool carnival for the cup and ran a big race finding the line well. Has never been past 2400mtrs but looks good. No 5 Stole $7 as a 5yo she has stepped up in distance well and looked good, worked home well over 2600mtrs last start. No 8 Doubly Sure $26 this is a big class rise, was a good run and been over the distance a few times. No 3 I’m Jake $5.50 another racing well and have to respect over the distance.

Race 7 – 1400mtrs Handicap – 03.30pm

No 3 Demerit $5
returns across from Sydney after coming up against More Joyous and Black Caviar. This is a lot easier and respect this horse. No 7 At The Heads $5 goes back into open class so drops a heap of weight, last start was a good run as was wide for a long way home. No 4 Lucky Eighty Eight $11 is first up here but been in work a while and looks good apparently, could add good value to multiples. No 11 Euphoric Realm $5.50 is another that goes to open company and drops a lot of weight. Looked good winning at Seymour but this is a lot harder.

Race 8 – 1700mtrs 0 – 89 Handicap – 04.15pm

No 1 Tintern $31
could be worth a small eachway bet. This horse came back from a long 77 week spell. Did nothing in the race but is a better horse than that. Will be better for the run. No 4 Under The Hat $4 has stepped up in distance well this preparation and last start so close to a win. Definitely the one toy beat. No 10 Royal Commands $11 looked good last start and another at juicy odds. No 17 Resetable $6 (nom Wed) is an emergency but if starts keep safe after strong first up win.


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