Friday 7 January 2011

Caulfield Horse Racing Tips Saturday 8th January 2011 Victoria Australia

I am a professional punter living outside Australia. I punt for a living and for years been helping my mates out with my tips. I have friends on the inside and a professional at reading form. I watch 100’s of videos each week to pick my winners.

I only bet on Victorian races. At times when Victorian horses are interstate I will offer tips at those meetings.

I have decided to share my tips, hopefully to help the normal punter win a few bucks on the weekend.

Remember, never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is a problem contact professional help in your state, city or country. Victoria Horse Racing supports responsible gambling initiatives.

Good luck if having a punt and remember to gamble responsibly.

Caulfield Horse Racing Tips Saturday 8th January 2011

Race 1 – 1100mtrs 2yo Plate – 12.50pm

This is a hard race to start the day, watch markets closely for any moves. No 2 Covered in Class $2.50 won well on debut at Mornington. Did win easily but will need to run a quicker time as the 1-0.93 will be too slow to win this but did look to have plenty in the tank. No 5 Flor Do Mar $4, like her first two race runs, both very promising. Last start here at Caulfield over the 1000mtrs was good and found the line well late. No 6 Holdontoyahorses $11 won at Seymour on debut, I have watched this run a few times and it was very nice. She really hit the line hard full of running. Out of a good stable and Oliver on board will give evry chance at nice odds. Watch markets on the No 3 and No 4 as both first up and breeding they should run forward races.

Race 2 – 1100mtrs 3yo Handicap – 01.30pm

No 1 Éclair Flyer $2.50 looks hard to beat, is in good form and this could easily be three wins in a row here. This horse will get better with distance. No 2 Typeface $4.60, this young colt is still learning but I like his talent and will get better with racing. With the 3kg claim here is light carrying 54.5kgs and last start was an excellent run over 1200mtrs here at Caulfield. Ran a forward race taking the lead into the straight briefly and then laid in down the straight. No 5 Chelembra $21 is way overs to me. This horse won well on debut then went down to Éclair Flyer last start. Got away slowly and then sat wide with no cover, found the line well and drops to only 52kgs. No 4 Warm Love $3.50 if you watch her last 5 runs she has come up against some smart horses, last start won well but will have a hard time with these other horses being so light in the weights.

Race 3 – 1600mtrs 0 – 89 Handicap – 02.10pm

Another favourite that looks hard to beat is No 3 Grail Journey $3, he has had 4 runs back this preparation and all have been good. Last start win at Moonee Valley sat off the leaders who were over racing, got going about 600mtrs out and in the straight found line well for a good win. Drops 1.5kgs on that run. No 7 Did We Win $8.50 I have watched his last 5 races and he has been unlucky and could have been closer in a few of them. Last start had to pull the rest of the field along sitting third as the two leaders cleared out, held up on the turn, got through a little late and was overrun, did a lot of work and give a chance. No 6 Star Scream $14 returned with an average first up run from the spell, that was back on the 18th of December and will have trained on since then, is very light carrying 52.5kgs and will be running on late. No 5 Skystreamer $9 just went down on Boxing Day over 1400mtrs here at Caulfield. Sat last and worked home well, will appreciate the extra metres.

Race 4 – 2000mtrs 0 – 82 Handicap – 02.50pm

No 7 Borscht $11 is a very good outside chance in this race. He has been racing well and around the mark. No 2 Lakedro $3.30 is the best runner in this race by far on form, his last start against Aloha was good. The only thing worrying me is the weight. No 3 Down Under Boy $11 will have to best foot forward here to get anywhere near the top two, is running well and been a little unlucky in some of his races. No 5 Trajet $13 is another that could place at nice odds for the multiples, this horse will get better with racing.

Race 5 – 1400mtrs Fillies 0 – 72 Handicap – 03.30pm

This is a really hard filly’s race with some nice horses going around, many have a good chance. No 2 Penski Material $5.50 is having her first hit out past 1200mtrs, her dad Hidden Dragon was good over 1400mtrs – 1600mtrs, will need to be put to sleep in the race as she does like to run on the pace. She does have a good finish on her. No 4 Jesse’s Miss $7 won on debut for Mark Kavanagh, it was only at Seymour and a fillies maiden but did win well. No 3 Safe $6.50 will push forward and make the pace genuine, is a nice horse but may use up to much energy getting to the lead. No 7 Lizawi $4.40 is bred to run this distance, she has looked very good to date and will get better with racing. No 6 Attivita $16 from the Moody camp won on debut, was a much easier race at Horsham on a slow track. Must respect this trainer and out of a nice horse Pins, so should run the distance no worries.

Race 6 – 1200mtrs L.T. Cleary Stakes Listed Race – 04.10pm

A hard race again, I cannot go past No 1 First Command $3.30 even with the 59kgs, has been freshened and as always will be ready for this and sure to give it a huge shake. No 14 Imperial Command $8.50 is the light weight, carrying the limit of 53kgs with Boss on board from barrier 2. Goes well fresh and if jumps well could get a lovely cart into the race. No 7 Midnight Mustang $9 has had a change of trainers and also first up here, goes well fresh and okay record at the distance. No 6 Ego's Dare $5 the Sydney sprinter is a smart horse, failed at his only start here but watch markets closely. For Multiples go wide and include numbers 13, 2, and 4 as well.

Race 7 – 1200mtrs Fillies and Mares 0 – 89 Handicap – 04.50pm

Exciting galloper No 3 Mid Summer Music $2.20 is second up after a convincing first up win on Boxing Day, she is a very nice horse and cannot see her being beat. I have already backed her in the early markets. No 1 Ariarni $7.50 first up has to be respected, she is two wins from two starts and sure to give Mid Summer Music a solid hit out. No 7 Luminous Harmony $9 wasn’t disgraced behind Mid Summer Music last start, did a little bit wrong in the race and should run a improved race. No 4 Little Gem $7 kept Mid Summer Music honest last start, again sure to give a good race.

Race 8 – 1400mtrs 0 – 82 Handicap – 05.30pm

This is another open race and No 5 At The Heads $3.50 is a lightly raced 4 year old that is on the brink of being more than just a decent horse. He is a fighter and will again give these something to beat. No 12 Itimo $7.50 two wins in a row from the spell and drops to only 53.5kgs with the claim, this is hardest task to date but at this weight a chance. No 10 Lizz $11 has two good runs back from the spell, is a nice horse and will make this an honest race. An outsider for the multiples, No 4 Translation $26 has been drawn terribly, will need luck and is light with the claim and could show up at the end.

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