I am a professional punter living outside Australia. I punt for a living and for years been helping my mates out with my tips. I have friends on the inside and a professional at reading form. I watch 100’s of videos each week to pick my winners.
I only bet on Victorian races. At times when Victorian horses are interstate I will offer tips at those meetings.
I have decided to share my tips, hopefully to help the normal punter win a few bucks on the weekend.
Remember, never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is a problem contact professional help in your state, city or country. Victoria Horse Racing supports responsible gambling initiatives.
Good luck if having a punt and remember to gamble responsibly.
Flemington Horse Racing Tips Saturday 22nd January 2011
Race 1 – 1200mtrs 2yo Plate – 12.50pm
This isn’t a strong sprinters race to me, the standout is No 1 Aberrant $4.40 who won on debut. The time isn’t anything flash but did have plenty in the tank and being out of Strategic should be able to pick up a few yards of pace. No 7 Redangelo $3.80 is another that should sprint well. He is a nice looking colt and his first race he did a bit wrong getting away slowly, then made contact about 200mtr out from the line becoming unbalanced. Out of Testa Rossa who was very smart and he looks to be a horse that could win a few good races. No 3 Break The Seal $12 and No 4 Charting $5 will go well but is a horse that will want more distance and I will follow as they step up in distance.
Race 2 – 1620mtrs Fillies & Mares 0 – 89 Handicap – 01.30pm
This is a very even race with 5 horses having a good chance of winning. No 2 Casual Friday $4.60 last start was doing best too late, got too far back from the wide gate and was virtually last on the turn, made good ground late and this barrier she will race a lot closer to the lead and is 2.5kgs lighter. No 6 Sparks Fly $21 was the same, got too far off the lead, was finding the line well late and drops 2.5kgs. No 1 Rubinacci $4.80 was a good hard fought win first up from the spell, is a horse that puts a few wins together usually and sure to give this a shake. No 4 Winged Charm $4 is the favourite, was a nice win last start, she meets her opposition worse at the weights and also the barrier worries me as she tends to get away slowly and could get pocketed on the rail. I put a watch on No 7 Rain Shadow $5.50 as she is much better than her last start. Caught wide from the bad barrier last start and raced with no cover, weakened in the straight and rider sat up. This barrier will be a much bigger danger.
Race 3 – 1620mtrs 3&4yo Fillies and Mares 0 – 72 Handicap – 02.40pm
Another open race. No 3 Gail $5 has come back from her spell in very good form. She is finding the line well and last start she did so much wrong, away badly, then she got pocketed and couldn’t get clear until about 100mtrs out then fining the line well. No 5 Seduced $8 changed to Kent’s stables, she has been running well in Adelaide and I have watched her last four runs and she has done things wrong and been a little unlucky. I like Rawiller gets on board and could be charging home late. No 7 Wayfield $11 also came back from a long break and has three good runs under her belt. Stepped up nicely in distance and last two starts for two wins in much easier company but the wins have been strong, impressive. No 1 Princess Diablo $4.60 is in very good form, is very consistent and sure to run a big race, the 2kg claim a big help and really hit the line well last start for a good win.
Race 4 – 1720mtrs 0 – 89 Handicap – 02.50pm
You cannot go past No 8 Cabeza $2.60 has three runs back from his spell, first two were very solid then last start he gapped them at Moonee Valley running a race record for 1600mtrs of 1-34.78 and this is a smart time for the Valley. I backed him as soon as the markets opened with my biggest bet this year. No 2 Grail Journey $5.50 has had three runs in Victoria for the Hawke’s stable now. They have been good runs and a fighter so I expect him to make this an honest race. No 6 Jetconi $8.50 was backed well late last start at long odds, money was so close with him tiring late to get run over. His race against Cabeza was good, got caught in a pocket and when clear in the straight made good ground to finish second. No 3 Port Vell $8.50 is into his third start back from the spell, last start if you watch it was better than it looks on paper, away badlyand laid out in the straight a few times, passed a few runners and with Oliver getting on board will keep her straighter and also closer to the pace. No 5 Cornish $6.50 in an international horse for Hickmott and Williams, is back from a 462 day spell and in blinkers the first time, watch markets.
Race 5 – 2600mtrs Handicap – 03.30pm
This is a hard race, No 6 Sister Norma $6.50 is racing very well, has been around the mark most of her races this preparation, last two starts fought hard right to the line. No 5 Fordee $7 is a frustrating horse, this is his forth run back this preparation, last race was a nice race fighting for the lead before being overrun, drops weight and could be the improver. No 3 Muir is another horse that has been disappointing, they have put blinkers on his for the first time and this could be a big difference. No 1 Guest Wing $8 is across from Perth, the Perth Cup winner is in good form but I worry about the weight.
Race 6 – 1000mtrs Kensington Stakes (Listed Race) – 04.10pm
No 7 Warm Love $4.80 is a big chance to make it 4 wins in a row here, this is a big step up in class but drops 3kgs and did win well last start, will get a beautiful cart into this race I believe from this barrier. No 4 Waltzes $12 is from a very good country trainer Jarrod McLean. He doesn’t bring the horses to town unless he thinks they are a chance. He will charge for the lead and more than likely come across and cart Warm Love along. Will fight hard a long way. No 1 Grand Duels $6 has a big weight being 59.5kgs but he can do it like he has before. A very good sprinter and will put his best foot forward. No 3 Cardinal Virtue $3.90 is the favourite and across from Sydney. He does look a nice horse and is running down the straight here so won’t have the problem of negotiating the bend but from the barrier he might get pocketed as he doesn’t like to lead. There will be pace on early in this race.
Race 7 – 1410mtrs 0 – 89 Handicap – 04.50pm
No 5 Imperial Command $5.50 returned in the listed Doveton Stakes, was a little tardy at the start and then ran a solid race throughout, will be fitter here and is pretty smart when he is on his game. No 15 Stillman $9 is a bit of an unknown, he came to Australia from Hickmott and Williams and raced once after a 266 day break, it was a decent hit out running a good second finding the line late. He was put away again for 276 days and makes his return for his second Australian run. No 2 At The Heads $4.80 last two start wins have been solid and again will be hard to hold out with the claim. No 7 Work The Room $5 came back from a 69 day let up with a big run, got too far back and was doing best work late.
Race 8 – 1800mtrs 3&4yo 0 – 78 Handicap – 05.30pm
No 3 King Diamond $4.60 looked nice winning last start, will be fitter here and sure to be finding the line strongly late. No 4 Brillanconi $12 with the 3kg claim will run a very cheeky race at this weight, this is a big step up in class from his last two wins but he has found the line well. No 7 Shewan $5.50 Smerdon and Boss and a good combination and this horse has two very good runs under his belt this preparation. Last start ran a big race finding line well late. No 2 Vesper $5 an incredibly frustrating horse if you have tried to follow him, he is much better than his last 3 runs and I think the weight will be too much for him here.
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