Friday, 25 February 2011

Caulfield Horse Racing Tips Blue Diamond Stakes Day Saturday 26th February 2011 Victoria Australia

I am a professional punter living outside Australia. I punt for a living and for years been helping my mates out with my tips. I have friends on the inside and a professional at reading form. I watch 100’s of videos each week to pick my winners.

I only bet on Victorian races. At times when Victorian horses are interstate I will offer tips at those meetings.

I have decided to share my tips, hopefully to help the normal punter win a few bucks on the weekend.

Remember, never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is a problem contact professional help in your state, city or country. Victoria Horse Racing supports responsible gambling initiatives.

Good luck if having a punt and remember to gamble responsibly.

Caulfield Horse Racing Tips Blue Diamond Stakes Day

Race 1 – 1200mtrs 3yo Plate (set weights) – 12.30pm

This is a hard race to open with, many with a good chance. Chris Symons had a choice of a few rides but stays on No 3 Éclair Mystic $3 her last three starts have been in a listed, group 3 and group 2 races, she won the listed and two excellent thirds in the group races. A big chance. No 6 Too Deadly $6 from very good trainer Kavanagh, a nice win returning from his spell in a much easier race but respect. No 1 Stirling Grove $3 returns to Melbourne and has red hot jockey Williams on board. Is the top weight but keep safe. Was backed in last start from $1.60 into $1.35 only to finish second. Has barrier trialed since then as will be ready for this.

Race 2 – 2000mtrs Victoria Gold Cup Handicap (listed race) – 01.10pm

No 5 Down Under Boy $7
will get back, he is not fast away but will be charging home and this race isn’t so strong. No 6 The Wolverine $21 has not won a race since October 2007, he needs runs under his belt and he has now and I like his last two runs before the spell as they were not so bad. No 8 Vesper $2.80 is short, has blinkers on for the first time and this can be a good move for a Zabeel offspring. He is a nice horse but still needs to convince me he is more than average. No 2 Above Average $5 is first up, but has been in work for a while and sure to be forward. No 1 Scenic Shot $3.50 is the class runner and has a huge weight of 60kgs, he is used to carrying weights like this and will run his heart out.

Race 3 – 1400mtrs 3yo Fillies Angus Armanasco Stakes (Group 2 set weights) - 01.50pm

No 1 Sistine Angel $8.50
just forget last start, after jumping bumped and unbalanced and never got into the race. I will guarantee a better race here from what I have heard. No 5 Pinker Pinker $6 ran a very nice first up race, got away slowly and settled back, was still 11th at the 400mtrs and about the 200mtrs got around heels to finish off well, looks like the distance will be appreciated. No 2 Zelsnitz $3.80 is too short for me. She is a nice looking horse and in the top trainers stable, she did have no luck first up as the wide barrier making her push across and lead, she set a good pace and set the back markers up, she is talented but this not an easy assignment for her. No 7 Jeter $6.50 from the Tinkler camp came across from Adelaide after 4 wins in a row and ran a good first up run, should be around the mark.

Race 4 – 1800mtrs 3yo Caulfield Autumn Classic (Group 2 set weights) – 02.30pm

No 2 Domesky $6.50
I think is a big chance, this is a harder race for sure but his run in the Listed Spring Stakes was a big run, coming from well back hitting the line to just go down. Last start at Mornington was a good win, around 900mtrs out the leaders slowed down causing Domesky to be checked off heels and he shifted out badly, he came wide and no cover and in the straight motored home hands and heels. No 5 Elusive King $7.50 looked good last start, was wide and did find some contact around the bend, a nice run and looks like he wants more distance. No 9 Clemente $15 is a lightly race Red Ransom colt, was around the mark last start and fought hard, gets blinkers first time here and sure to be very fit and better for his runs. No 3 Kim Divine $3.50 from Bart Cummings has two excellent wins last two starts, is flying but needs to show he is up to group 2 level.

Race 5 – 1400mtrs Futurity Stakes (Group 1 weight for age) – 03.10pm

Super me No 8 More Joyous $1.50
I have already backed in the early markets, returns to Caulfield where she won the Toorak, she returned from her spell with a very impressive win at Randwick, was in a very slick time and did it with ease. I backed in the early markets and cannot see her being beat, nothing will come near her. No 9 Ortensia $10 last start Typhoon Tracy was just too good for her, she is a nice horse and will run her heart out. No 1 Whobegotyou $7 has 6 first up runs for 1 win and 2 seconds, distance 7 starts for 5 seconds, track and distance 4 starts for 3 seconds. Sure to be in the places. No 6 We’re Gonna Rock $12 was scratched last week, is two starts for two wins first up but is 4 starts for zip at the distance.

Race 6 – 1100mtrs Oakleigh Plate (Group 1) – 03.30pm

What a race and many with a chance of winning this. It is hard to look past No 1 Catapulted $5.50 was impressive first up from his spell, had to push into the clear and made contact a few times, was a big run and hit the line flying. Have heard he looks great. No 6 Star Witness $7.50 was disappointing to say the least last start. I do expect him to be better here. No 11 Undeniably $5.50 comes in here light, will have to push forward from this barrier and will give them a lot to run down. No 2 First Command $8.50 returns from his NZ jaunt where he ran an excellent second, will be ready for this.

Race 7 – 1200mtrs 2yo Blue Diamond Stakes (Group 1 set weights) - 04.30pm

No 1 Sepoy $1.50
has been backed to win a fortune, I got on as early as I could at $1.90, he opened on some markets around $2.25 but these odds are well and truly gone. He should win this like a walk in the park, looks very smart. No 6 Atomic $11 was impressive winning the Chairman Stakes, the connections paid the $55k late fee and did look nice winning. Has been backed well in the markets but Sepoy is holding maybe 90% of the market. No 14 Hallowell Belle $11 solid run back from the spell, found the line very well as didn’t have a clear run down the straight but when clear found line well. No 4 Delago’s Lad $31 this is a huge step up but I like what I have watched of him and could place at nice odds.

Race 8 – 1800mtrs St George Stakes (Group 2 weight for age) – 05.10pm

No 2 Heart of Dreams $3
has drawn a little wide but is the class runner here on her last start against Typhoon Tracy, was motoring home late and with some luck would have won that race. No 8 Moudre $13 had a shocker first up from the spell, was a way slowly and never got going. Forget this run as he is much better than this. Just watch his races against Americain and Maluckyday. No 10 Spacecraft $8.50 I am expecting a much better horse here, is so well bred and should be running this distance out easily. No 3 Ginga Dude $9 and No 1 Shocking $9 will be doing their best work late.

Race 9 – 1400mtrs Mannerism Stakes (Group 3 set weights) – 05.50pm

No 1 Culminate $3.30
ticks all the boxes returning from her spell, she is a very nice horse and will be good to see her racing again. No 5 So Anyway $9 last start she really started doing some nice work too late, got too far back and the extra metres and ridden a little handier will make a huge difference. No 7 Counterpane $7.50 is another horse that was flying late last start, has McEvoy back on board and will give this a shake. No 10 Perfect Hostess $8.50 is another that I believe will have improved with her racing this far, worked home well in the straight.

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