Friday 18 February 2011

Flemington Horse Racing Tips Saturday 19th February 2011 Victoria Australia.

I am a professional punter living outside Australia. I punt for a living and for years been helping my mates out with my tips. I have friends on the inside and a professional at reading form. I watch 100’s of videos each week to pick my winners.

I only bet on Victorian races. At times when Victorian horses are interstate I will offer tips at those meetings.

I have decided to share my tips, hopefully to help the normal punter win a few bucks on the weekend.

Remember, never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is a problem contact professional help in your state, city or country. Victoria Horse Racing supports responsible gambling initiatives.

Good luck if having a punt and remember to gamble responsibly.

Flemington Horse Racing Tips Saturday 19th February 2011

Race 1 – 1100mtrs 2yo Talindert Stakes (Listed) set weights – 12.50pm

I think No 11 Ervbefel $9 is a good outsider here. From Kent and she won well on debut at Ballarat, found the line well there. This is much harder but drops 4kgs as well. No 10 Anevay $3.20 she looked good on Australia day just going down on the line. She was a little keen and got her head up a bit and will be better for the run and surely super fit. No 9 Hollyweird $4 first run in Australia was solid, was a little wide through the run but did find the line well. No 1 Redangelo $8 has two good runs under the belt, looks like a nice horse in the making. Any scratchings throw in No 4 Gone Skiing $26.

Race 2 – 2000mtr Handicap – 01.30pm

I don’t like this race, average horses with no standouts at all. No 1 Larry’s Never Late $5 is first up over 2000mtrs but must be a chance, 5 first up runs for 4 wins and 1 second. Was scratched from a 1600mtr race at Caulfield and I am sure he will be ready. No 9 King Diamond $4.60 has been stepped up in distance well this preparation and should be very fit and run a very good race again. No 2 Reverend Lovejoy $16 and No 14 Vesper $8 for the multiples.

Race 3 – 1200mtrs Handicap – 02.10pm

I don’t like this race either, many chances in this weak race. No 3 Diplomatic Force $13 hasn’t won a race since March 2009 but I am giving a show here. No 6 We’re Gonna Rock $3.90 looks the best runner for sure, he finished 2nd in the Toorak but he is a horse that sits back and winds up and might find this a little short. For the multiples No 1 Orbit Express $12 and No 9 I’m Discreet $7.50

Race 4 – 1400mtrs 3yo Fillies The Mittys Vanity (Group 3) set weights – 02.50pm

No 8 Do Ra Mi $2.15 (special) is a shoe in for me. I backed her at $2.25 for a large stake and am very confident of the return. No 9 Absolutely $5 comes back from her spell and will be better schooled from her first two runs, she looked good and is the next clear pick for me. No 5 Southern Speed $4.20 is across from Adelaide and has two wins from two starts, last start did find the line well and looks like she will run this distance out but will need to find a few lengths in speed. No 1 Shamrocker $10 for the multiples.

Race 5 – 1400mtrs 3yo Colts & Geldings C.S Hayes Stakes (Group 3) set weights – 03.30pm

No 8 Enjin Number Nine $3.80 (Eachway) is the current favourite and hard to go past. I backed him in the early markets. You cannot fault his form and how he has stepped up in classes quickly. His Manfred win last start was very nice. No 4 Dusty Star $6.50 has claims for sure. Last start Group 2 winner where he toyed with his opposition. If Enjin Number Nine fails he should be the winner. No 11 Bullbars $17 is wide and will need some luck but I liked his first up run from the spell. No 1 Anacheeva $6.50 was a big disappointment first up, was well supported but just never got going. He is much better than that run.

Race 6 – 1000mtrs Coolmore Lightning Stakes (Group 1) Weight For Age – 04.10pm

It is so exciting seeing No 7 Black Caviar $1.40 (Super Special) returns from her spell. I backed at $1.45 for my biggest bet in over 5 years. It is a risk but these sort of horses only come along every now and then. No 1 Haylist $5.50 no matter the excuses last time these two met, she was a class above him. He is a very smart horse and he was disappointing and we will see him at his best tomorrow and no excuses after the winning post. No 9 Crystal Lily $16 is light returning from the spell and sure to run her heart out. For multiples throw in No 2 Grand Duels $35 and No 10 Warm love $51.

Race 7 – 1400mtrs Handicap – 04.50pm

No 9 Offenders $5
I think Snowden will have him absolutely firing for this. He is a nice horse his last three runs have been very good. No 11 Miles Above $21 won first up last preparation over 1400mtrs at Ballarat, this is a harder race but likes the wet and a nice outsider. No 5 Barwon Express $7 was a little stiff last start, sure to be hitting the line hard. No 12 Niblick $4.20 current favourite is a little short for me, a nice horse and good record but yet to convince me he is better than average.

Race 8 – 1700mtrs 0 – 89 Handicap – 05.30pm

No 15 Studley Park $1.95 (special)
I have already backed for a nice return. If you watch his two runs to date he looks like a nice horse, last start at Sandown he did it so easily. Drops 4kgs on that run and should walk this in. The only other horse in single figures is No 8 Rubinacci $6 and I would have on top if Studley Park wasn’t in the race. Two excellent runs back from the spell. No 3 The Wingman $15 has drawn badly but Merterns will be patient and sure to be working home well late. No 11 Red Hustler $19 is racing well, the claim will help and handles the wet. No 7 Mount Everest $23 will be better for his first run back after a long spell, I like what I saw.

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