Friday 4 March 2011

Flemington Horse Racing Tips Australian Guineas Day Saturday 5th March 2011 Victoria Australia

I am a professional punter living outside Australia. I punt for a living and for years been helping my mates out with my tips. I have friends on the inside and a professional at reading form. I watch 100’s of videos each week to pick my winners.

I only bet on Victorian races. At times when Victorian horses are interstate I will offer tips at those meetings.

I have decided to share my tips, hopefully to help the normal punter win a few bucks on the weekend.

Remember, never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is a problem contact professional help in your state, city or country. Victoria Horse Racing supports responsible gambling initiatives.

Good luck if having a punt and remember to gamble responsibly.

Flemington Horse Racing Tips Saturday 5th March 2011

Race 1 – 1000mtrs 2yo Ice Cream Stakes (listed set weights) – 12.40pm

No 1 Golden Archer $4.40
has a nice turn of foot and goes well down the straight here, sure to be in this a long way. No 2 Vatican $7 ran a nice race first up from the spell against Atomic, will be better for that run and should have trained on. No 7 Kid Kobe $8.50 is a first starter with two trial wins under the belt, keep an eye on the markets. No Fortune of War $3.60 is another first starter with a trial win, well bred and keep an eye for any moves in the markets.

Race 2 – 2000mtrs Victoria Plate – 01.15pm

No 6 Anudjawan $3.20
last two starts have been very good, was unlucky last start as stuck on fence and steadily shuffled back to the back of the field. In the straight held up for clear running until 150mtrs out and hammered home late, a big run. No 5 Rubinacci $4 is running very well in easier class, last start stepped up to open company with a good run. A lot harder but a chance on form. No 4 Port Vell $3.70 is another horse racing well, last start a good run as there were excuses in that run. No 1 Mourayan $8.50 has a strong record second up, form doesn’t look great but he has been going around in much harder races. No 2 Hanks $6 has blinkers first time and this could make a big difference for the Encosta De Lago gelding.

Race 3 – 1100mtrs 3yo & up Fillies & Mares Plate (set weights) – 01.55pm

This will be a two horse race for me. No 3 Dubleanny $2.30 returns from her spell in a filly and mare race, she was hot last preparation against some smart horses and her trial run of the 21st of February she looked very good. No 4 Psychologist $3.60 I backed her and tipped her on her return from the long break, she looks a smart horse and it was a nice win at the Valley. No 5 Girls Go Racing $9 has come across from Sydney and form is decent, she won well first up and she can find the line very well. Down the straight doesn’t have to go around the turn on the wrong foot a bonus. No 2 Valentine Miss $5.50 her last six starts have been group or listed races and she won a group 3 and solid in the others. Her last three runs in filly and mare class she has two wins and a second, respect but she has run into a couple of smart ones here.

Race 4 – 2600mtrs Roy Higgins Quality Handicap (listed) – 02.35pm

No 11 Streaky Fella $6
is a nice outsider for sure, last start in Tasmania is better than it looks on paper. It was a big run and the start before at Morphettville was nice. as also had trouble in the running. Family Bliss ran 4th and has gone on to win at Sandown. No 3 Vesper $4.60 won well last start, a very good ride by Hall, goes back up 5kgs in weight so a big task over this distance. No 1 Kid Diamond $4.40 is racing very well, in very good form but also rises 5kgs in weight. He can carry it but over this distance the question. No 7 Elmore $9.50 is last year’s winner of this race. Needs runs under the belt and sure to run an honest race.

Race 5 – 1400mtrs 3yo & up Fillies & Mares PFD Stakes (Group 3 set weights) – 03.20pm

No 3 Aloha $2.10
is short but is going to be hard to beat. I have backed already and has been well supported. She really hit her straps last preparation and was flying. Price sure to have her ready to go. No 2 Return to Sender $11 is over the odds for me, she is good second up and at the distance. No 5 Flying Tessie $7 is terrible at the barriers, she walks out and misses the starts but absolutely motors home. Last start played up at the barriers and missed the jump before hammering home the last 200mtrs. Williams on board first time and if he can get her to jump well she could give this a big shake. No 4 Casual Friday $13 this is a class rise but at this weight will run an honest race.

Race 6 – 1600mtrs 3yo Australian Guineas (Group 1 Set Weights) – 04.05pm

No 7 Bullbars $9.50
to me looks a good a chance as any here. He ran a nice race last start for a good win. Drew the wide barrier and paired last, came wide in the turn and straight and found line late for a good win. Will be better for the run and McEvoy takes the ride and he is a very good jockey. No 11 Under the Eiffel $11 has looked really good since returning from his spell. A big run in the group 2 Autumn Stakes last start, was away slowly and settled back in the field. Wide into the straight and motored home, got her head to the side. Looks ideally suited here. No 2 Playing God $5 you cannot fault his Perth form, will that form hold up here is hard to say but respect. No 5 Run For Levi $26 back over this distance and will appreciate that, a nice horse and a good chance at longer odds for me.

Race 7 – 1000mtrs Bob Hoysted (listed) 04.45pm

The top 4 horses are all in the market and have good chances. No 4 Master Harry $3.60 one start down the straight at Flemington for a strong win. His two runs this preparation very nice and is going to be hard to beat. No 2 Winter King $4.60 three starts back ran a good second to Black Caviar, a good record over the 1000mtrs and sure to be in the finish. No 1 Secret Flyer $5 can carry the big weight and was running home well last start. No 3 Broken $5.50 is very good over a 1000mtrs and sure to be in the places.

Race 8 – 1400mtrs Birthday Stakes (listed) – 05.25pm

No 7 Launay $2.50
is short but I have already backed as very confident with him here. His first up run from the spell was solid, was very well supported in the markets and had a few problems in the run. Will appreciate the extra metres and having McEvoy back on board as a plus for me. No 8 Eraset $5.50 was also solid first up from the spell, fought hard all the way to the line and will be much better for the run. No 9 Belgietto $5.50 was specked at odds last start and ran a good second and will like the extra metres here as well. No 5 Just Look $17 didn’t get a clear run last start, was working home well late and has a good second up record and the distance. Top weight No 1 Danzylum $5.50 have to respect the old fella as he is a solid horse.

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