I am a professional punter living outside Australia. I punt for a living and for years been helping my mates out with my tips. I have friends on the inside and a professional at reading form. I watch 100’s of videos each week to pick my winners.
I only bet on Victorian races. At times when Victorian horses are interstate I will offer tips at those meetings.
I have decided to share my tips, hopefully to help the normal punter win a few bucks on the weekend.
Remember, never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is a problem contact professional help in your state, city or country. Victoria Horse Racing supports responsible gambling initiatives.
Good luck if having a punt and remember to gamble responsibly.
Flemington Horse Racing Tips Newmarket Handicap Day
Race 1 – 1200mtrs 2yo Fillies Thoroughbred Breeders Stakes (Group 3 set weights) – 11.30am
No 12 Plucky Belle $6 from the Moody camp is having her first start, I have heard she looks good on the track and Nolen getting on her and not on No 3 Metonymy $5 who I think has a good chance after her Blue Diamond run, only enforces this for me. No 7 Noble Twostep $13 is nice at these odds for me, still a green horse with lots to learn but I like what I have seen of her and should run home well. No 5 Holdontoyahorses $5 was just outclasses as all were by Sepoy last start, will be better back here against her own class.
Race 2 – 1100mtrs 3yo Security Stakes (listed handicap) – 12.05pm
No 3 Panipique $5.50 I liked her first up run, she got back to last and still last at the 400mtrs, weaved trying to get a clear run and came off heels about 200 out from the line making good ground. No 6 Umgeton $6 two nice wins in a row and she could run this distance out here, she looks a better horse after her spell. No 8 Kulgrinda $3.80 is lightly raced, well bred and looks a nice horse. Have to respect. No 5 Pellizotti $10 is solid first up and good jockey and trainer combination.
Race 3 – 1400mtrs 2yo Produce Stakes (Group 2 set weights) – 12.40pm
No 3 Helmet $2.40 (special) I am looking forward to seeing tomorrow, he looks a lovely colt and though his times don’t look good they are. He is still learning but has a nice turn of foot and last start he jumped sideways when hit with the whip but McKevoy straightened and he found the line well. No 1 Masthead $3.80 ran a very good race in the Blue Diamond against Sepoy, was away slowly and sat mid field before comin very wide into the turn and down the straight. He looked good and the extra metres look good. No 2 Delado’s Lad $5 also ran a good race in the Blue Diamond, was specked from $26 into $21 but got too far back and did work home well but was too late, extra metres will suit. No 4 Grand Britannia $8 was very unlucky in the Blue Diamond, away slowly and was checked twice in the running, forgive and sure to be better here.
Race 4 – 1600mtrs 3yo & up Blamey Stakes (Group 2 set weights) – 01.15pm
No 1 Whobegotyou $1.70 at this distance is a very safe bet, looked fantastic charging home first up and from all reports I have had looks magnificent and should make it another group victory for himself. No 5 Dao Dao $5 meets Whobegotyou 3kgs better here at the weights from last start, he is a nice horse and distance, track and second up record all solid but the top weight a little class above for me. No 2 Doubtful Jack $12 just hasn’t got going this preparation, he loves Flemington and is 4 starts for 4 wins and it wouldn’t take a lot for him to show his class. No 8 Spacecraft $7.50 comes in nicely at the weights in this open company race, solid at 1600mtrs a chance to run a decent race.
Race 5 – 1400mtrs 3yo Fillies Kewney Stakes (Group 2 set weights) – 01.55pm
It will be good to see No 1 Brazilian Pulse $4.20 returns to racing, she was a bit of a start last preparation shining over the Melbourne Cup Carnival. Williams gets straight back on board and she looks great from reports. No 2 Sistine Angel $11 both runs this preparation have been slowly away, and just getting to far back. Is a better horse than that. No 7 Sayahailmary $8 will kick up to lead, will run a cheeky race and give them something to chase down. No 4 Divorces $8 is first up and runs solidly fresh.
Race 6 – 1200mtrs Newmarket Handicap (Group 1 handicap) – 02.35pm
Even though the handicapper has tried to stop Black Caviar winning her 10th race in a row, it just will not happen. No 1 Black Caviar $1.20 is going to break records tomorrow. I had backed her in future markets a while back for the Newmarket and she was short then, I had backed her in the early markets and with Haylist coming out (because he was scared) the deductions will make it a very small dividend indeed now. No 6 Beaded $21 has never been out of the money in 9 starts at this distance. A very good win last start and charged home and the big weight drop helps. No 5 Star Witness $14 is a classy horse and he will run his heart out. No 3 Eagle Falls $26 comes off a very nice last start win full of running.
Race 7 – 2000mtrs Australian Cup (Group 1 WFA) – 03.20pm
No 9 Moudre $6.50 could have finished closer to No 3 Heart of Dreams $4.60 as he did a bit wrong. Heart of Dreams did seem to have a bit in the tank at the end and was a very good run but I am leaning to an upset. No 5 Precedence $6 ran in the same race, finished 2nd and was working nicely to the line. No 1 Shocking $8.50 you can never rule out when up around this distance.
Race 8 – 1600mtrs 3yo & up Fillies & Mares Schweppervescence Trophy (Group 3 set weights) - 04.05pm
No 7 Gail $8 this is a big jump in class but is racing very well, the weight drop will help and have to respect. No 6 Pinker Pinker $4 has two solid runs this preparation, a big run last start and a strong win and will be hard to beat on that form. No 2 Lady Lynette $4.60 has two wins in a row across in Tasmania, comes back to Melbourne and will be there around the finish. No 1 Culminate $6.50 had a shocker first up, she played up wanting to be a rodeo horse getting her head up. She is better than her last run and good second up.
Race 9 – 1400mtrs TAB $500,000 First 4 Jackpot Stakes (Listed handicap) – 04.45pm
As the race name suggests there will be a $500,000 jackpot pool added to this race and a predicted pool of around 2 million dollars in all. No 7 Offenders $7.50 is racing well, last start some late support and ran on for a good win, has been freshened and should be around the mark. No 8 Undeniably $2.50 is the short favourite. Last two starts in Group 1 and 2 level and were very good runs. The distance won’t be a problem and should be nice and fit. No 2 Danzylum $16 is racing well and will lead and give these all something to chase down and will not make it easy. No 3 Orbit Express $15 sure to run a solid race and also No 11 Niblick $6.50 if he starts.
I would suggest a first 4 along these lines.
7, 8 / 2, 3, 7, 8 / 2, 3, 7, 8, 11 / 2, 3, 7, 8, 11, 15.
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