Friday 14 October 2011

Caulfield Cup Horse Racing Tips Saturday 15th October 2011 Victoria Australia

I am a professional punter living outside Australia. I punt for a living and for years been helping my mates out with my tips. I have friends on the inside and a professional at reading form.

I watch 100’s of videos each week to pick my winners. I only bet on Victorian races. At times when Victorian horses are interstate I will offer tips at those meetings. I have decided to share my tips, hopefully to help the normal punter win a few bucks on the weekend.

Remember, never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is a problem contact professional help in your state, city or country. Victoria Horse Racing supports responsible gambling initiatives. Good luck if having a punt and remember to gamble responsibly.

Caulfield Horse Racing Tips Victoria Australia

Race 1 – 1400mtrs 3yo Fillies Handicap – 11.30am

A small fillies race to start the day but not an easy race. No 6 Belle Of The Court $4.40 from the Moody camp and won well on debut. It was an easy race but impressed with a front running win and pulled away well when given a flick. No 7 Secret Liaison $7.50 returned from her first spell with a good win. She was green her first preparation and looked better schooled returning. The win impressed as posted wide and hit the line hard after doing a lot of work. No 4 Shadow West $3.80 I think will be suited here at Caulfield and Sydney form not so bad and I like the look of her. No 1 Florets $6 for multiple players.

Race 2 – 1400mtrs 3yo Colts & Geldings Australia Stakes (Listed SW) – 12.10pm

No 1 Masthead $2.50
is going to be hard to beat for sure but has drawn a little wide and doesn’t get away that well, so could get caught a little wide and have traffic problems. No 4 Galah $4.40 across from Sydney and I have watched all his 3 race runs and he looks alright. He will also get back but charge home, watch his last run and see what I mean. No 5 Highly Recommended $13 I can see getting a really good sit and cart on the leaders here, may get the perfect cart into this race at odds. No 7 Cross of Gold $7 I am more than willing to give a chance and forget last run, is better than that and just watch the start before to see what I mean.

Race 3 – 2000mtrs 3yo Fillies Ethereal Stakes (Listed SW) – 12.45pm

I am going for one to upset the favourite. No 5 Quench The First $7 I think they may ride her a bit quieter here. If she can get away without doing too much work she could pinch this for me. No 1 Dowager Queen $2.80 looks the one to beat for sure. Last start in the Flight Stakes looked to finish the race off well from well back. Should run this out strongly. No 6 Gliding $9 the master trainer and jockey team up here. I wouldn’t write completely off as has been a little unlucky here and there and has been finding the line well. No 8 Fallen One $11 this is much harder but did fly home well for a good win last start.

Race 4 – 2000mtrs 3yo Norman Robinson Stakes (Group 3 SW) – 01.20pm

This is an open race for these young potential stayers. No 1 Isopach $7.50 if still a green horse and can be a handful but when he does want to race he is good. Last start was solid and if he puts his best foot forward a chance for sure. No 8 Niagara $4.20 in the Waterhouse stable and across from Sydney. She has come back from the spell looking a much better horse. This is her hardest race to date but did show a good finishing speed for strong win last start. No 3 Sangster $5.50 is a NZ horse does look handy. I have watched all 4 Australian starts and he will be hitting the line hard. No 4 Costly Commitment $7.50 will be a chance for multiple players as well as No 9 Zabeelionaire $7.

Race 5 – 1100mtrs Handicap P.C Sprint (Group 2) – 02.00pm

The very smart No 6 Sepoy $1.28 has this is the bag. If nothing goes wrong in the race he will street this in. The value will be multiples. No 1 Buffering $10 can carry weight and will make sure this is run at a genuine pace. No 9 Curtana $13 I can see getting a good cart into this and a multiple chance. Stable mate also a big chance for the places. Value could be No 10 Basil Da Man $31.

Race 6 – 1400mtrs Betfair Stakes (Group3 Open SW) – 02.40pm

A really hard race and markets will be a good guide for what has its foot on the till. No 2 Pinwheel $8.50 just forget last start, nearly threw the rider on jumping. This horse doesn’t know how to run a bad race and I think the track will suit perfectly tomorrow by this time of the day. No 6 Launay $11 is the stable mate and I think will run a forward race. Has a trial under the belt and first up record good. No 12 Phelan Ready $11 I like this horse and what I have watched of him. He does get back at times but I am hoping he sits handy from this barrier and could surprise these. No 1 Love Conquers All $4.80 is simply class and sure to give this a big shake.

Race 7 – 2000mtrs Handicap David Jones Cup (Group 3) – 03.20pm

And not getting any easier. I am going for a big outsider here. From the Moody camp No 13 Almodovar $26 is still a lightly raced 4yo and last preparation really came on when stepped out around this distance. I think a good outside chance. I had $500 each way at better odds the other day. No 3 Red Colossus $5.50 is a class horse and will be the one to beat for me. Out to the 10 furlongs and hope to see him back to his best. No 8 Platinum Passion $7 Moroney has stepped her up perfectly this preparation and watching last start she is a chance for sure. No 9 Base $11 and No 4 Paddy O’Reilly $9.50 cannot dismiss for multiple players.

Race 8 – 2400mtrs Handicap Caulfield Cup (Group 1) – 04.05pm

December Draw $2.75
is short but how do you back against him, he is racing so well and on form just cannot see him being beat if he gets a clear run. One punter had a $500 double about 7 weeks back for Atlantic Jewel for the Guineas and December Draw for the Caulfield Cup at odds of 400/1. Good luck to him. No 16 Green Moon $11 has drawn wide here and may start in the Geelong Cup instead but respect if starts. No 1 Mighty High $9.50 is the only other runner under $10. Watch both his Australian starts and he does look a nice stayer and with some luck and a clear run we will see his best. Multiple players will need to go wide and keep No 7 Hawk Island $26, No 11 Tullamore $21 and poor No 12 Absolutely $19 that drew off the track but might be a GC starter instead.

Multiple players can go two ways. Take December Draw as a stand out in your multiples or take him to be pipped. I am looking at a couple of scenarios one being 9 / 1,3,7,11,12,16 / 1,2,3,5,7,11,12,16 and then taking December Draw to be pipped.

Race 9 – 1400mtrs 4yo & up Mares Tristarc Stakes (Group 2 Open SW) – 04.50pm

This for sure is a race of two. No 1 More Joyous $1.85 stepping out to this distance will suit and of course beyond. She is sure to be absolutely primed and very hard to beat. No 3 Sister Madly $4 I think will find MJ just too good here but on current form will give her a good race until the last half furlong I think. For multiple players No 2 Response $11 I look forward to seeing her over this distance again, she is smart and looked better last start. Others to keep in mind No 5 Screen $34, No 8 Born to Rock $13, No 6 Sistine Angel $17.

Race 10 – 1100mtrs 3yo & up Fillies & Mares Handicap – 05.30pm

And try to go out with a winner. This is a tough race again. No 1 Psychologist $5 has been in work for a while and looks great I have heard, goes well first up and sure to give this a shake. No 2 Rue Maple $4.20 is a trojan of a horse. She has been going around in much tougher company and racing well and have to respect. No 3 Satin Shoes $7 is a better horse than it looks of late. You just have to trust her and give her a chance. No 7 Fabulist $17 and No 8 Total Liberty $6 for multiple players.

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