Thursday 27 October 2011

Moonee Valley Horse Racing Tips Friday 28th October 2011 Victoria Australia

I am a professional punter living outside Australia. I punt for a living and for years been helping my mates out with my tips. I have friends on the inside and a professional at reading form.

I watch 100’s of videos each week to pick my winners. I only bet on Victorian races. At times when Victorian horses are interstate I will offer tips at those meetings. I have decided to share my tips, hopefully to help the normal punter win a few bucks on the weekend.

Remember, never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is a problem contact professional help in your state, city or country. Victoria Horse Racing supports responsible gambling initiatives. Good luck if having a punt and remember to gamble responsibly.

Moonee Valley Horse Racing Tips

Race 1 – 1000mtrs 3yo & up Maiden Plate (set weights) – 06.45pm

A maiden to start the night off. It is a hard race so punters beware and watch markets carefully. First starters No 8 Splitzer, No 10 Roxit (nom Tue, Thur) are nicely bred and could sprint well first up. Of the raced lot No 2 Cosmic Demon (nom Tue) has a big chance to finally break his duck here and the change of jockey might be the omen. No 5 Observer across from Sydney and back from the spell. Should have matured a little more in the paddock and could be that bit stronger here as looks a nice horse. No 14 Wind In His Hair (nom Fri Stawell, Tue, Wed) if starts respect as had a good debut as was very green and brushed the running rail many times and will only be better.

Race 2 – 1600mtrs 3yo & up Fillies & Mares 0 – 82 Handicap – 07.15pm

A small field of girls here and will be a hard race and nothing really jumps out at me. No 2 Ky’s The Limit (nom Tue) looks like the one to beat on current form and a solid run on the pace last start but wasn’t quite up to that grade but a solid run. This is easier and will carry the weight. No 7 Storm Burst (nom Tue) has been disappointing and just hasn’t clicked into that next gear needed but you have to respect as very consistent. No 1 Royal Era (nom Tue) a kiwi horse that first up in Australia didn’t go so well but for sure will be better here. No 6 Oriental Ruby (nom Tue) drops back to the mile and should be around the finish.

Race 3 – 3000mtrs 0 – 89 Handicap – 07.45pm

I am going for an upset over the very short priced favourite. No 1 Montahlia $6.50 (nom Tue) if you know this horse you know he needs runs under the belt. Has them and also looks great I have heard and I am tipping him as an upset. No 2 Reuben Percival $1.75 (nom Tue) came across from Sydney and is in the Waterhouse stable and won well at Geelong. Looks like he should run this out but still a question mark over that. No 3 North Lodge $13 (nom Tue) returns to Victoria after two start in Tassie, last start was good and a chance for multiple players. No 8 Dell $21 (nom Tue) for multiple players.

Race 4 – 955mtrs Handicap – 08.15pm

This is going to be hotly contested for sure. No 1 Definitely Ready $3.90 even with the top weight is going to be hard to beat. He looks great and is running great sectionals I have heard. No 16 No Means Go $6 if the 4th emergency but if he gets a start you have to respect. He didn’t get a clear run first up and it was a good run and will be a chance. No 3 Waltzes $9.50 forget first up run back from the spell as not a lot went right and better than that. No 9 Alpha Proxima $6 loves the track and distance and will run his heart out.

Race 5 – 1200mtrs 3yo Handicap – 08.45pm

No 2 rescue Mission $3.80
was outclassed last start, was still a good run but not up to that class. Will sit up on the pace and be hard to hold out. No 7 Gig $4.40 I have watched all her runs to date and she is nice and a chance here for me. The win at Seymour although the time not fast for this track it was the way she won. No 4 Revitalise $4.20 (nom Wed) is still a green horse and learning. A big drop in class from last start. No 8 Zhu Jiang $8 (nom Wed) for multiple players.

Race 6 – 1200mtrs 3yo & up Fillies & Mares 0 – 82 Handicap – 09.15pm

No 4 Bellantina $3.80
Nikolic pushed her forward and she did too much early and weakened late but fought all the way. Not sure what he was thinking there as she definitely goes better just off the pace and running over the top of them as she should do here. No 1 Minnie Mah $3.50 (nom Thur) hardly ever puts a foot wrong and sure to be in this a long way. No 3 Barangaroo $4.40 first up will be a place chance. Value for multiple players No 2 Reverberates $13.

Race 7 – 2040mtrs 0 – 82 Handicap – 09.45pm

This is a tricky race and a few genuine chances for me. No 1 Testas Double $3.80 (nom Tue, Wed) was just outclassed last start, this is easier and will be a threat. No 5 Cheronbutch $5.50 (nom Tue, Wed) is having his first start at 2000mtrs but on last start should run it out as a good win. No 6 Savoy $3 (nom Tue, Wed) for sure a big chance as was unlucky against Testas Double last start, meets him 2.5kgs better so should be favourite. No 3 Mr O’Ceirin $8.50 the ex kiwi horse has two wins in a row and a chance for a third.

Race 8 – 1600mtrs 0 – 78 Handicap – 10.15pm

No 5 Fawkner $3.20
(nom Tue, Wed, Thur) if starts here will be hard to beat for me. He looks a nice horse and first up just forget the run. Has been in work a while and will be fit and ready to go. No 6 Musical Hit $8.50 was doing best work too late last start and should be better for that run. No 9 Resetable $6.50 (nom Tue, Thur) will be better for his first up run from the spell. First emergency No 13 Con Act $8 gets a start keep safe in multiples.

Possible quadrellas for the night.

2,4,7 / 1,3,4 / 2,3,5,6,7 / 5 for a cost of $45 for a full unit.

2,7 / 1,4 / 2,3,5,6,7 / 5 for a cost of $20 a full unit.

2,4,7 / 1,3,4 / 2,3,5,6,7,9 / 5,6,8 for a cost of $162 a full unit.


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