Tuesday 4 October 2011

Ballarat Horse Racing Tips Wednesday 5th October 2011 Victoria Australia

I am a professional punter living outside Australia. I punt for a living and for years been helping my mates out with my tips. I have friends on the inside and a professional at reading form.

I watch 100’s of videos each week to pick my winners. I only bet on Victorian races. At times when Victorian horses are interstate I will offer tips at those meetings. I have decided to share my tips, hopefully to help the normal punter win a few bucks on the weekend.

Remember, never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is a problem contact professional help in your state, city or country. Victoria Horse Racing supports responsible gambling initiatives. Good luck if having a punt and remember to gamble responsibly.

Ballarat Horse Racing Tips Victoria Australia

Race 1 – 1100mtrs 3yo & up Maiden Plate (set weights) – 01.00pm

This is an average maiden and one to probably stay away from. Watch markets for any support as this will be a good guide. No 11 Clear from the Snowden camp, returns from his first spell and his last start he did flatten out well late. Sure to be better schooled here. No 3 Cosmic Demon is so close to a breakthrough win. Last two starts has been unlucky and last start after being held up near the turn worked home really well. No 1 Blatherskite won his trial leading into this and does look nice watching the video. No 14 Handcut another to watch markets on.

Race 2 – 1000mtrs 3yo & up Fillies & Mares 0 – 72 Handicap – 01.35pm

I think this race is worse than the maiden before it. These are a very average lot of glue pots here. Watch markets for any decent moves. No 8 Your Grace (nominated Fri, Sat, Sun) if starts a chance for sure Drops down in weight with the class rise and does sprint alright. No 4 Close The Door would be suited better if the track was a little wetter but should go alright anyway. No 2 Shiny and New for sure is the class horse by a mile. She came back from a long spell and just has not put her best foot forward. Drops back in class here and the 4kg claim a big help.

Race 3 – 1200mtrs 3yo & up Fillies & Mares Maiden Plate (set weights) – 02.10pm

Another tough race with a few unseen horses here. On breeding I like No 10 Pontington as both mum and dad were pretty handy and will like further than this as well. Is nominated for Saturday’s Thoroughbred Stakes at Caulfield but will have to see what Hughes does. No 14 Snegurochka is nominates Fri, Sat and Sun coming and also like the breeding. No 9 Pattamada on breeding should go alright but will be better suited over 7 or 8 furlongs for me. Stablemate No 16 Zhu Jiang has a trial under the belt returning here and looks the best of the raced lot for me.

Race 4 – 1600mtrs 3yo Maiden Plate (set weights) – 02.45pm

The last of the maidens here. No 6 SleepNpete watching the replays he found the line okay last start, was in a bit of traffic in the straight but when clear flattened out well. No 7 St Christophe the owners and trainers have ambitious plans for this $380k purchase. Is nominated for the Victoria Derby and on breeding will be looking for that distance for sure, forgive debut run and respect the breeding. No 4 I Have A Dream is another well bred horse and I would be more than willing to give a chance after debut run, there was no support in markets that day so needed the run for sure. No 11 Ready On Time for multiple players as the Payne stable is to be respected.

Race 5 – 1600mtrs Handicap – 03.20pm

A nice race this. No 9 Elusive King $5.50 was well back early first up from the spell and there was no support in markets at all. Was the only horse that went along the rails in the straight as the ground was softer there but did work home alright. If he starts here I am sure we will see a better horse, for sure. No 12 Dead End $2.50 a good hard fought win last start, on breeding should want this and further and will be hard to hold out at this weight for sure. No 1 Time Matters $5 has not been over a mile since March 2009, but you must respect the old fella as he has a huge heart and doesn’t often put a foot wrong. No 11 Almodovar $8.50 another Moody runner first up jockey put him into a dead position going along the rails, never tested and will be better for the run and also stepping up and further in distance will suit.

Race 6 – 1600mtrs 0 - 68 Handicap – 04.00pm

We are back into the lower class races and I am going for breeding in No 13 Catch a Heart, she is well bred and won on debut and was very green then spelled returned at this track and ran a good race but may have been just a little underdone weakening late. No 2 Bedouin Express has been racing well and should be around the finish. No 3 Our Inheritance a decent run last start in a small field. Multiple players No 12 Democrat.

Race 7 – 1100mtrs 0 – 68 Handicap – 04.40pm

This is a nice little race here. No 1 Breitling a lot was expected of him after his decent debut preparation. Has not gone on with it since then but there is no doubt he has talent but they just need to get him right. No 9 Tale Of Two Cities will kick out and lead this, will take running down for sure. No 11 Red Rain won well on debut then failed at Caulfield before being spelled. Debut win flew home hard and looked good stretching out and at Caulfield it was a good run and not too far off them after racing very wide with no cover. Is nominated Sat at Caulfield. Multiples No 5 Tel Onnah.

Race 8 – 1400mtrs 0 – 62 Handicap – 05.20pm

No 10 Quatra Valve
is racing very well and should give this a shake for sure. No 11 Gogonski has drawn wide here and may scratch and run later in the week. If starts have to respect is much better than last two starts suggest. No 14 Peppy Koala a decent and hard fought win on debut, a good country stable and not without a chance. No 1 Simpre Arriba a solid first up run in Australia for the kiwi horse. The Hickmott trained No 15 Innovate if starts watch markets.

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