Thursday 13 October 2011

Mornington Horse Racing Tips Friday 14th October 2011 Victoria Australia

I am a professional punter living outside Australia. I punt for a living and for years been helping my mates out with my tips. I have friends on the inside and a professional at reading form.

I watch 100’s of videos each week to pick my winners. I only bet on Victorian races. At times when Victorian horses are interstate I will offer tips at those meetings. I have decided to share my tips, hopefully to help the normal punter win a few bucks on the weekend.

Remember, never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is a problem contact professional help in your state, city or country. Victoria Horse Racing supports responsible gambling initiatives. Good luck if having a punt and remember to gamble responsibly.

Mornington Horse Racing Tips Victoria Australia

Race 1 – 1018mtrs 3yo Maiden Plate (set weights) – 01.00pm

A tough maiden to start and watch markets for moves. No 3 Reparations returns from the spell. First two runs were decent, went up against Secret Hills who has gone on and become a handy horse. His last start at MV just forget as was a shocker and will be better schooled here for sure. Watch markets closely on first starters No 2 Ladretto, No 5 Wind in his Hair and No 6 Handcut. I wouldn’t rule out No 9 Sapphire Mistress as both her runs have been okay and Nikolic on top a good choice.

Race 2 – 1223mtrs 3yo & up Fillies & Mares Maiden Plate (set weights) – 01.35pm

Of the raced lot nothing of interest at all. Keep an eye on first starters No 7 Deeming and No 11 Mango Mojito. No 4 Chick on a Roll watched the video and not a bad return from the spell.

Race 3 – 1527mtrs 3yo & up Maiden Plate (set weights) – 02.10pm

No 1 Conserve
a decent debut working home well late and then spelled. Returns here and on breeding should want this and further. No 8 Tyro Godess has been freshened for a month and doesn’t look such a bad horse, good chance to break maiden status here. No 2 Jazz King forget the Geelong run, was wide and did a lot of work early went back and then pulled up lame. Before that was running well. No 4 Visit Us for multiple players.

Race 4 – 2044mtrs 3yo & up Maiden Plate (set weights) – 02.45pm

No 7 Alice Alice
has a good run back from the spell, has only been over the 2000mtrs once before against Rain Shadow at Caulfield and just over raced and weakened, a chance for me. No 8 Beautiful Dreams watch markets as has been freshened and looks like a horse that could run this out. No 10 Invidia a good run last start as was wide most the way and fought hard right to the line. No 13 Rive Gauche is one to trust just on breeding, to date nothing flash but trust breeding.

Race 5 – 1223mtrs 0 – 58 Handicap – 03.20pm

No 4 Yellow Tagh
I would like to see them settle just off the pace and not lead and if they can do that he might pinch this. No 2 Flightmaster a good run last start, took a big bump around the 200mtr mark and wobbled a bit but finished the race well. No 9 Verification has run some decent races and unlucky to still be a maiden.

Race 6 – 1223mtrs 0 - 68 Handicap – 04.00pm

No 14 D’Oyly Carte
will get a start here if they want. Won on debut and spelled so watch markets. No 5 Braken Lay first start on the better going last start and looked good winning. Has been freshened and a big chance. No 1 Adaptor even with the big weight will run his heart out for sure.

Race 7 – 1018mtrs 3yo & up Fillies & Mares 0 – 62 Handicap – 04.40pm

On potential you cannot go past No 6 De Lilly Lightful, no doubt she is better than average and if you watch her run in the group 3 Champagne Stakes she did a lot of work and led till 100mtrs out but fought hard. I will give No 2 Tequila Queen a chance of an upset. Won on the heavy first up from the spell but I think will be better suited here on top of the ground. No 7 Ready as Elle will lead and make them chase her down. For multiple players No 5 Sky Shower.

Race 8 – 1527mtrs 0 – 58 Handicap – 05.20pm

A nasty race to finish the day. No 2 Mudslide has drawn off the track but will come in a little with scratchings. There should be a little bit of speed in the race and if he can tuck in nicely and get a good cart will be hard to hold out. No 3 Naringaling will lead and set a genuine pace I think. Not sure he can run this out but if he gets a few cheap sectionals could pinch it. No 1 Beacons has a couple of decent runs this preparation. And the old fella No 8 Hear Me Talkin for multiple players.

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