I am a professional punter living outside Australia. I punt for a living and for years been helping my mates out with my tips. I have friends on the inside and a professional at reading form.
I watch 100’s of videos each week to pick my winners. I only bet on Victorian races. At times when Victorian horses are interstate I will offer tips at those meetings. I have decided to share my tips, hopefully to help the normal punter win a few bucks on the weekend.
Remember, never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is a problem contact professional help in your state, city or country. Victoria Horse Racing supports responsible gambling initiatives. Good luck if having a punt and remember to gamble responsibly.
Flemington Melbourne Cup Horse Racing Tips Victoria Australia
Melbourne Cup Day is the one of the best fun days of the year, not so much as being at the track now as there are just too many people but with friends and family and a barbeque or even better to one of the many country meetings on across Australia. Remember that every trainer and owner wants to win a race Melbourne Cup Day and it is a hard day on the punt. Good luck and remember to bet wisely and enjoy the day.
Race 1 – 1000mtrs 2yo Fillies Plate (Listed Open SW) – 10.20am
We start with a hard race as there are plenty of first starters here. Watch markets as these will be a good guide. Of the unraced lot No 2 Applegate on breeding I would expect a front running horse with a good turn of foot. Did win her trial coming into this and I have watched this footage and she looks nice. No 5 Flirtatious I do like the breeding but I think will be better over more distance up to the mile mark. Will more than likely be back and doing best late on breeding. No 9 Maraatib I liked her trial against the handy Lamingtons and I think she will be more than forward. No 8 Languish won her trial easily and wasn’t over stretched and needs to be respected. No 1 Alezan Thunder won well on debut is Adelaide and looked to still have a but up her sleeve. One for your blackbook I think will be No 11 Rhandara as I really love her breeding but think her best will be around the 7 or 8 furlongs and cannot wait to see her here.
Race 2 – 1700mtrs 4yo & up Mares Handicap – 11.00am
Kiwi horse No 2 Smoulder $5 has two runs on Australian soil now and last start in the Seymour Cup found her feet. She really found the line well late and if carries that form through is with a good chance here. No 15 Tantrum $10 (nom Thur) another Kiwi horse with a good chance if you ask me. She has impressed me since she came over and her last few starts although in easier class has found the line well. She will be coming home hard late at this weight for sure. No 5 Foxstar $4.20 has drawn wide and this is a little worry but this horse usually gets back anyway and comes home over the top. As long as she gets some cover and doesn’t sit wide and do too much work a chance for sure. No 4 Royal Commands $11 this horse always needs a few runs under the belt and we will see a much better horse here. Multiple players go wide and include No 6 Influential Miss $11, No 9 Gail $17 and No 11 Cold Steel Rein $26.
Quinella – 2,5,15 Trifecta 2,5,15 / 2,4,5,15 / 2,4,5,6,9,11,15
Race 3 – 2800mtrs 0 – 95 Handicap – 11.45am
No 6 Adroitly $6 Sydney form has been good. Comes across for the carnival. Will be back midfield but I think will be set up well for the run home and a good chance. No 10 Western Symbol $6 an excellent run in the Bendigo Cup the other day and will be a threat on that run. No 12 Excluded $5.50 (nom Wed, Thur) has drawn off the track and not sure if he will start here. If he does need to respect as on breeding should run this out and last start after being caught wide early went to the tail of the field and found the line well late. No 16 Perfect Pecs $8.50 has been racing well in easier company but last start in the Geelong Cup put in a very good run. Multiples go wide with No 2 I’m Jake $15, No 8 Innocent Lady $21, No 7 Olympic Win $13 and No 11 Lopov $9.
Quinella – 6,10,12,16 Trifecta 6,10,12,16 / 6,10,12,16 / 2,6,7,8,10,11,12,16
Race 4 – 1400mtrs 4yo & up Mares Herald Sun Stakes (Group 3 Open SW) – 12.30pm
No 3 Little Surfer Girl $8 came across from Sydney and pulled up with a cardiac abnormality and has had a 1000mtr gallop and ECG since then and passed. She is a nice horse and must respect her. She is a little wide but hopefully Cassidy can slide her across for a good midfield position and she will do the rest as she usually finds the line well. No 14 Neriani $4.80 she is a classy horse and my only worry with her is if she is tardy from this barrier could end up boxed away. She usually races on the pace and is a big threat. Last start a huge run and being wide all the way. No 12 Pontiana $7 she looked a little green late first up from the spell and should have trained on here. She looks a handy horse and I expect a good race from her. No 2 Divorces $6 has drawn off the track but needs to be respected. She will get back but be flying home for sure. Multiples go wide and include No 8 Hinemoa $9.50, No 5 Gai’s Choice $18 (nom Wed), No 16 Tariana $17. Watch No 19 Saint Angers $26 (Nom race 10) if gets a start multiple chance.
Quinella – 2,8,12,14 Trifecta 2,8,12,14 / 2,8,9,12,14 / 2,5,8,9,12,14,16
Race 5 – 1000mtrs 3yo ST 1000 (Open SW) – 01.15pm
No 2 Karuta Queen $1.55 cannot see her being beaten as she is going great guns and this should be a walk in the park for her. No 5 African Pulse $3.50 returns from his first spell and he should be better here and filled out a little. Reports have been he looks good. No 3 Spirited Addition $13 Adelaide form can be hard to judge but is racing well and a place chance. No 7 Hollyweird $11 (nom Thur) is a nice horse but I think this is too short for her and she is better around the 1200mtrs mark. For first 4 players include No 6 Shanghai Bound $17 and No 4 The Counterfeiter $26 is better than last start.
Exacta 2 / 5 Trifecta 2 / 5 / 3,7 First 4 – 2 / 5 / 3,7 / 3,4,6,7
Race 6 – 1400mtrs 3yo Fillies Lexus Plate (Listed Open SW) – 02.00pm
This is going to be a tough race for me. I think there are plenty of genuine chances here. No 2 Combat Kitty $4.40 across to Victoria for the first time and I like what I have watched of this horse. She looks to have matured over the spell and she has found the line well and a good threat for me here. No 1 Disputes $6.50 even though she has only won 1 race you must respect her. She will be in a much better position from this barrier and last start was wide and raced outside the leaders early and this didn’t suit. No 8 Secret Liaison $7.50 has looked good this preparation and not without a chance. In the small field last start found the line well. No 5 The Fairy’s Kiss $3.40 (nom Thur) is a little short for me. I do think she is a big chance and will be a threat and if you watch her last start she was beaten by a very handy horse in the making. Will she runs this right out? Multiples include No 9 Princess Layla $6.50 (nom Thur).
Quinella 2R / 1,5,8 Trifecta 1,2,5,8 / 1,2,5,8 / 1,2,5,8,9
Race 7 – 3200mtrs Handicap The Melbourne Cup (Group 1) – 03.00pm
The Melbourne Cup is a good time for you and mates to pool money together for your multiples. It always pays to go wide in the multiples as often they will pay well.
I am going with a local over the favoured French gallopers. No 17 At First Sight $15 came back with a very good run in the Bendigo Cup after a few little set backs. He is only going to have tightened up since that run and at this weight sure to be charging home. The French galloper No 1 Americain $4.40 a solid run first up and did look good hitting the line. The barrier is a little worry but have to respect on that run. No 23 Niwot $12 is another excellent light weight chance. His Lexus win was good and this has been a great training feat from the Hawkes team. No 22 Tullamore $26 didn’t have to run on the weekend after qualifying and the rest is sure to have freshened. Meets Americain much better at the weights and don’t dismiss his chances. So I have gone against the trend of international horses and have my fingers crossed.
Quinella 1,17,22,23 Trifecta 1,17,22,23 / 1,2,3,10,17,22,23 / 1,2,3,8,9,10,17,22,23 costs $168 a full unit.
Race 8 – 1800mtrs Handicap JW Stakes (Listed) – 03.55pm
A very hard and open race here. No 12 Lone Command $5 (nom Wed) returns from Sydney and is in good form. I can see him getting a pretty good sit and cart in this race and a big chance to run over these down the straight. No 4 Lamasery $5, will he start? Scratched from the Bendigo Cup with a leg infection and will just have to wait and see. If starts a chance as has been in good form. No 1 Linton $7.50 is lightly raced and frustrating to try and follow. Hasn’t raced since pulling up lame after last start. He has talent for sure and cannot discount. No 6 Extra Zero $13 at these odds is an excellent each way chance. Multiple players include No 2 Red Collossus $7, No 16 Foxham $21 and No 11 Blackie $8.
Race 9 – 1200mtrs Handicap (Listed) – 04.35pm
A very hard and open race for me. No 4 Perturbo $11 (nom Thur) is looking great I have heard and goes well down the straight here. No 5 Facile Tigre $12 this Queensland horse has been excellent first two starts in Victoria. Cannot fault his form and it will be just how he handles the straight running. No 13 Utah Saints $15 is another with a chance at odds. He will lead this a long way I think and take running down. No 19 Screen $13 watching some of his runs if he is switched on he is a chance here. Also No 7 Shadowfax $8 and No 11 Parables $6 cannot be left out.
Race 10 – 1400mtrs 4yo & 5yo Handicap – 05.15pm
No 8 Studley Park $7 looks great I have heard and will be ready to give this a big shake. No 14 Too Deadly $6.50 both runs back from the spell has been a little unlucky and with Brown on top a good chance of a change of luck. No 15 Sussuro $11 (nom race 4) if starts here has run two good races back from a long spell and not without a chance. No 2 Under The Eiffel $5 returned from the spell and won well even with a riderless horse hampering him in the straight. It was an impressive win. Multiples go wide No 16 Saint Angers $17, No 5 Miss Chatter $21 and No 6 Bagman $4.60.
IMPORTANT: Copyright and Terms of Use. Material contained within this website is protected by copyright under the laws of Australia and, by international treaties, other jurisdictions. While care has been taken to compile the details of racing materials information available via this website, victoriahorseracingaustralia accepts no responsibility for errors or omissions in the information provided. In the event of any defect, errors or omissions victoriahorseracingaustralia’s liability shall be limited to providing the information again.
No comments:
Post a Comment