I am a professional punter living outside Australia. I punt for a living and for years been helping my mates out with my tips. I have friends on the inside and a professional at reading form.
I watch 100’s of videos each week to pick my winners. I only bet on Victorian races. At times when Victorian horses are interstate I will offer tips at those meetings. I have decided to share my tips, hopefully to help the normal punter win a few bucks on the weekend.
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Flemington Horse Racing Tips Victoria Australia
What a day of racing and hope we can pick a few winners. There will be a few short favourites here but hope we can get some multiples to add value. Good luck if punting and remember to bet within your means.
Race 1 – 1600mtrs 3yo Carbine Club Stakes (Group 3 Open SW) – 11.20pm
We start here with a short priced favourite and he looks hard to beat. No 1 Galah $1.60 after his last start win looks like will run the mile out with ease and really found the line well. I backed as soon as markets opened at odds not a lot better than this. Value will be in multiples. No 5 Cross of Gold $13 out to the mile for the first time and looks to suit for me. He is still green but can finish his races off well. No 2 Highly Recommended $13 also out to the mile for the first time, he will be a chance for multiple players. No 4 Meethaq $4.40 (nom Thur) won well last start after being a little unlucky the start before in the Doncaster Stakes and will again be right in this. First 4 players have to keep No 3 First Course $10 (nom Thur) safe as well. A trifecta something along the lines of 1 / 2,4,5 / 2,3,4,5 or 1 / 2,5 / 2,4,5 should add a little value for punters.
Race 2 – 2500mtrs Quality Handicap Lexus Stakes (Group 3) – 12.00pm
There are a few here that need to win this to guarantee a Melbourne Cup start. No 3 Green Moon $3.10 raced wide all the way in the Caulfield Cup, worked to the lead on straightening and then fought hard to hold on for second. He has had a two week break and sure to be freshened and ready to take this out (I have already backed in opening markets and with Tullamore’s scratching will be deductions). For multiple players No 5 Niwot $8 raced on the pace from the wide barrier last start and this didn’t suit if you ask me. Here he will get a much better and suited midfield position and then come storming home. No 4 Moyenne Corniche $9 his only Australian start not so bad as was shuffled back and couldn’t get clear running and only found his feet late and worked home well late. No 12 Midnight Martini $9 last couple of runs has been unlucky, if she could get clear running she could be a big threat at this weight. First 4 players include No 10 Showcause $21 and No 8 Galizani $21.
Race 3 – 2000mtrs 3yo Fillies Wakeful Stakes (Group 2 Open SW) – 12.40pm
Nothing is going to stop super-mare No 1 Atlantic Jewel $1.28 as she has just tossed all before aside and will again here. Value will be multiples. No 4 Dowager Queen $7 first Victorian start was very nice. She didn’t get away well and was held up until about 250mtrs out and then really worked home well. No 5 Gliding $11 must be included in your multiples. Go wide and keep No 2 Pain In The Glass $26 and No 3 Bliss Street $21 in contention for multiples.
Race 4 – 1200mtrs 3yo Coolmore Stud Stakes (Group 1 Open SW) – 01.20pm
Again what could beat No 1 Sepoy $1.28, nothing that I can see. No 3 Hot Snitzel $15 returned from his spell with a good win and looks good, first start in Victoria. No 2 Masthead $19 will be absolutely ripped for this and a must for trifecta players. No 4 Foxwedge $11 another that must be included as well for multi players. First starter from Hong Kong No 6 Bear Hero $17 watch markets as its form is solid there.
Race 5 – 2000mtrs Mackinnon Stakes (Group 1 Open WFA) – 02.15pm
This is an open race for me. No 12 Rekindled Interest $4 for sure is the one to beat if you ask me. In the Cox Plate not a lot of luck, he was away a little slowly and got crowded, went for narrow runs in the straight and was tight running to the line. If he gets a clear run very hard to beat. I backed as soon as early markets opened and do think he is solid bet in a day of short priced favourites. No 14 Lights Of Heaven $11 I think Moody will have her primed here, she is a green and still learning if you ask me but has a lot of potential. No 13 Southern Speed $8 back up in the weights at WFA but she is racing very well. Mutliple players go wide and include No 3 Midas Touch $8.50, No 2 Wall Street $13, No 8 Glass Harmonium $8 and No 10 Foreteller $8 safe.
Race 6 – 2500mtrs Victoria Derby (Group 1 Open SW) – 03.00pm
I agree with the markets at this being a two horse race. I backed No 7 Induna $4.80 after his Geelong Classic win and he has kept shortening. He looks like he has a lot of potential but also still learning but a big chance for me here. No 1 Manawanui $2.50 took out The Vase as $1.22 favourite. Did it easy and looks like he should run this out and the only other threat for me. For multiples No 8 Costly Commitment $21 I like as how he has gone as he has stepped out in distance. Last start in the NR he got tight on the rails and when clear worked home well late showing me he will like the extra metres. No 3 Collar $15 (nom Thur) has potential but is green and you just have to trust breeding and keep safe. Don’t leave No 10 Niagara $8.50 out of multiples.
Race 7 – 1600mtrs 3yo & up Fillies & Mares Myer Classic (Group 1 Open WFA) – 03.45pm
I am really looking forward to this race between super-mare No 1 More Joyous $2.60 and up and coming filly No 16 Mosheen $4. There is an 8kg difference between them here and for sure Mosheen will make this a heck of a race. More Joyous looked excellent winning last start and she has my money on her. For multiple players No 11 Goon Serpent $26 I like how she worked home well late last start. No 3 Lady Lynette $21 is very frustrating but need to include in multiples. No 10 Skyerush $26, and No 4 Response $4.
Race 8 – 1200mtrs Handicap Salinger Stakes (Group 2) – 04.30pm
A nice sprint race down the straight here. No 10 Curtana $10 is at juicy odds and last start a good run against Sepoy as didn’t get clear running until 150mtrs out and worked home well. No 6 Sister Madly $3.80 on current form the one to beat for sure. The only question being she has never raced down the straight before. No 9 Mid Summer Music $5.50 cannot fault her form and she is light and sure to give this a shake. Multiple players include No 12 Stirling Grove $9 (nom Tue) and No 13 Rarefield $9.
Race 9 – 1400mtrs Handicap TCA Stakes (Group 3) – 05.10pm
And a very open betting race to finish the day with $7 the field on offer. Equal favourites No 11 Launay $7 and No 12 Niblick $7 are both big chances for sure. I am leaning to Launay as he loves the track and Snowden is sure to have him absolutely ripped second up here. Niblick hasn’t been seen for 8 weeks after returning with a good win over the distance. Have to trust and keep safe. No 3 Thankgodyou’rehere $8.50 is better than last start and give a chance and keep safe. Multiple players include No 5 Doubtful Jack $11, No 8 Budrigeuz $15 and No 7 Rothera $13.
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