Saturday 19 November 2011

Ballarat Cup Horse Racing Tips Sunday 20th November 2011 Victoria Australia

I am a professional punter living outside Australia. I punt for a living and for years been helping my mates out with my tips. I have friends on the inside and a professional at reading form.

I watch 100’s of videos each week to pick my winners. I only bet on Victorian races. At times when Victorian horses are interstate I will offer tips at those meetings. I have decided to share my tips, hopefully to help the normal punter win a few bucks on the weekend.

Remember, never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is a problem contact professional help in your state, city or country. Victoria Horse Racing supports responsible gambling initiatives. Good luck if having a punt and remember to gamble responsibly.

Ballarat Cup Horse Racing Tips Victoria Australia

Race 1 – 1200mtrs 3yo & up Maiden Plate (set weights) – 12.10pm

No 7 Astro Damus
is unseen and I do think will run a cheeky race but on breeding I really look forward to seeing over the mile and beyond for sure. No 8 Greenedge as well could run a cheeky race but I think the 1400mtrs to 10 furlongs better suited. No 4 Samer Drive a decent debut with not a lot of luck. No 12 Go Bossy Pants give a chance as first up was a little tardy and did do a bit too much early for me but looks alright.

Race 2 – 1600mtrs 3yo & up Fillies & Mares Maiden Plate (set weights) – 12.40pm

No 8 First Deck
I am willing to give a chance on the run two back. A hard run as was wide but found the line well in the heavy going and made good ground against the trend for that day. No 7 Bia Diamond has been a little green first two runs but looks alright and willing to give a chance. No 12 When My Baby back to maiden class after being way outclasses last start, looks alright in the videos. No 2 Heavenly Dawn good run back from her first spell.

Race 3 – 1400mtrs 3yo Maiden Plate (set weights) – 01.15pm

No 4 Economic
if starts here this should be a kill. Has been in work since September and first up only got going late and when balanced looked good. No 5 Greek Legend returns here and is sure to be better. Top stable with top jockey on board. No 2 Beedeekay is still very green and his own worst enemy. Give a chance as there was a decent go for him late in markets last start. No 8 Affetto from what I watched she doesn’t look too bad.

Race 4 – 1400mtrs 0 – 62 Handicap – 01.50pm

Not a great race this. No 16 Padawan Star she is lightly raced and Payne has been patient with her. Her run back from the spell I like and I think she will only be better for that run and also more distance better as well. No 11 Dashing Stars is another that ran a decent run back from the spell and also not a lot of luck as copped a huge check but really hammered home late. Extra metres will help and sure to have trained on. No 5 Phantom Brew is first up from the spell but been in work a while and sure to be ready to fire. No 3 Irish Golfer with the claim a big help and really not such a bad looking horse.

Race 5 – 1400mtrs 3yo & up Fillies & Mares 0 – 68 Handicap – 02.25pm

No 13 Alantis Dream
won well on debut and yes it was an easy race at Echuca and slow time but it was the way she won. She wasn’t supported whci was surprising the way she won as she was away poorly and sat wide, came 5 wide in the straight and stretched right out for a good win. No 11 Taxee a big threat going on winning debut. No 1 Legion’s Belle will appreciate the extra metres and a good first up run from the spell. No 10 Lady Fortrus last two starts here have been good.

Race 6 – 2200mtrs 0 - 72 Handicap – 03.00pm

An average race this. No 10 History No Hurdle $12 is a lightly raced horse still learning but shows some promise as being a decent country stayer. I watched all 5 of his runs and he looks alright. Last start he over raced and this took its toll late but a chance for sure in this weak race. No 1 The Chevron $3.60 back in class and the weight is okay but with this horse who knows as he can run a decent race when right. No 11 Saddle The Stars $4.40 looks good at this weight and last two starts have been good runs. No 6 Viva Delspec $12 if the track stays wet or gets wetter for multiples.

Race 7 – 1600mtrs 0 - 78 Handicap – 03.35pm

A very open race for me. No 12 Lord of Brazil $4 is racing so well and has not put a foot wrong of late. Will be very hard to beat at this weight and a wet track. No 13 Magic Me $8 two runs in Australia have been good. Getting out to the mile a bonus and he looks a nice little horse. No 4 Fitoussi $15 if it stays wet a multiples chance. No 5 Orbital Moon $6 will be much better back in this class.

Race 8 – 2200mtrs Handicap Ballarat Cup (listed) – 04.12pm

After going over the markets and watching some videos it wasn’t surprising to see my top two picks the first and second favourites. No 1 Rothera $4.40 is a classy horse but it is usually win or nothing. This is his first start past 1800mtrs but last start win showed he should run this out. The weight is a worry but he has carried weights well before. Last start he did plenty wrong as he pulled his head off early and during the race and was wide but still won well. No 7 Domesky $5.50 at a good weight and the sting out of the track all good for me and he will be there a long way. No 3 Tinseltown $12 I really think he has a chance at nice odds. No 8 Foxham $18 forget last start as the horse had a problem with the noseband and if better than that run.

Race 9 – 1200mtrs 0 – 68 Handicap – 04.48pm

No 4 Any Dream Will Do $5 returns from her first spell and I look forward to her racing. She went well her first preparation and sure she must have put on a little muscle in the paddock. I have backed her at a bit better odds than this. No 9 Sutanoc $4.80 on last start sure to give this a shake but he is inconsistent and I think a good lay. No 6 Lonhreign $7.50 returns from the spell and been in work a while and respect. No 14 What A Beauty $5 another not to be dismissed. A good outsider is No 11 Blatherskite $13 as he was really green first up and then second up looked a lot better winning strongly.

Race 10 – 1300mtrs 0 – 62 Handicap – 05.20pm

I am willing to risk the favourite here as I think No 3 Undeniably $4.20 is too wide and although he does have speed there is a few with toe inside him and he will more than likely get caught wide. He is the class horse but I think this will really test. No 6 Corvidae $5 is racing very well in South Australia. Cannot fault form and he will get a good sit from this barrier and there will be plenty of speed and he should get a big chance to run these down. No 12 Can Do $26 is first up and at this weight and with the sting out of the track I think he can sneak into this. No 4 Balavan $9 is either hot or cold and not much in between. If he is right he can be a good horse.

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