I am a professional punter living outside Australia. I punt for a living and for years been helping my mates out with my tips. I have friends on the inside and a professional at reading form.
I watch 100’s of videos each week to pick my winners. I only bet on Victorian races. At times when Victorian horses are interstate I will offer tips at those meetings. I have decided to share my tips, hopefully to help the normal punter win a few bucks on the weekend.
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Flemington Crown Oaks Day Horse Racing Tips Victoria Australia
Race 1 – 1800mtrs 4 & 5yo 0 – 89 Handicap – 12.20pm
No 6 Dead End $4.40 is the favourite (I have already backed at better odds) and last couple of runs has been unlucky, this horse looks ready to win and here if gets clear running be very hard to beat if you ask me. No 7 Fawkner $5.50 is backing up from 6 days ago at Moonee Valley a hard fought win and if you ask me will only be better for the hit out. No 4 Elusive King $7 (nom Sun) should be raring to go here and keep following when he gets out to 10 furlongs and further. In the multiples include No 9 Orbital Motion $13 and No 5 Bellissimo $12.
Race 2 – 1700mtrs 3yo Fillies Handicap – 01.00pm
No 4 Quench The First $6 I thought they were removing the blinkers from her but form guides still have them as on, I think they will be removed and they will ride her back in this race and the long straight here will give her plenty of time to run these down, I am giving her a chance. No 1 Cliques $3.30 won well last5 start in an easy front running display, she wasn’t stretched out and looked good and back against her won sex as well, hard to beat. No 5 Rose Pattern $7 is at very juicy odds, she is a well bred and smart horse in the making and must respect her. Last start forgive as maybe didn’t handle MV or racing under the lights but is much better than that. No 3 Twilighting $3.90 forget last start completely. She was terrible at the barriers and worked herself up, then raced wide and pulled up with abrasions on a hock, she is much better than that for sure. Multiple players have to include No 6 Princess Rock $8.50.
Race 3 – 1100mtrs 4yo & up Mares Mumm Stakes (Listed Open SW) – 01.40pm
On pure class No 8 Valentine Miss $2.50 looks hard to beat on current form. I backed her as soon as markets opened as I have heard she looks excellent. She comes into this with a couple of ripper runs and last start was a big run and watch the replay and you will see what I mean. She is going to be very hard to beat. She has my biggest bet of the carnival to date. No 6 Celts $10 came across from Sydney and put in a very good race. Sat up on the lead and looked to be beaten off at the bend but she dug deep and fought back to grab the lead and go down late near the line, strong horse. No 7 Psychologist $19 is crazy odds for me. She is a hard horse to follow but when she is right she is a very good horse. Have to give her a chance and last start they reported maybe she didn’t handle the track after the rain before her race. No 1 Gybe $16 watching her last few runs from Sydney she goes alright and sure to be a place chance. Multiple players cannot leave out No 2 Ortensia $6 returning from her spell as she is a very nice horse, on class she is on top.
Race 4 – 1200mtrs 3yo Fillies Gucci Stakes (Listed Open SW) – 02.20pm
This is a very hard race if you ask me with some talented looking youngsters here. It is frustrating when you do the form, watch the videos and your choice comes out as the favourite but that is the way it goes. No 3 Anise $3.70 she can be a little tardy and this can be costly but her run 3 starts back against Foxwedge was good. Drops back to that distance here and I think the straight will suit this horse and will be coming home hard. No 2 Miss Stellabelle $5.50 has not put a foot wrong this preparation and she will give this a big shake. No 7 Emmalene $15 I have watched her 3 runs to date and really she looks alright. Her run 2 back she hammered to the line. No 1 Satin Shoes $6.50 her run against Sepoy last start was solid, she goes up in weight here and will lead this a long way and take running down but I think the others with lighter weights will get over the top of her.
Race 5 – 1400mtrs 0 – 89 Handicap – 03.00pm
To be polite this is a nasty race. I have watched a lot of videos and been over my choices again and again and cannot separate a few of these. No 4 Limerock $8 I am going to trust her and have backed her at much better odds than this, she usually needs runs under her belt and this is her third here. I just see the extra metres and racing as all pluses for her. No 6 Translation $7.50 what worries me is he can get too far back and this is a big field and a lot of traffic. I do think they will try and ride him more handy here and a chance. No 9 Dash For Viz $6 this is only his second attempt at this distance, he can finish his races off well and last start did work home well. No 2 Chosen To Fly $6 last start was better than it looks as he was wide and never had cover and it just took its toll. The start before much better but the weight is a worry for me. No 14 Jungle Ruler $13 Nom Sun) if he backs up from 4 days ago I backed on his 100th start and he didn’t let many of us down and was backed in well and saluted. Would love to see him his 101st start.
Race 6 – 2500mtrs 3yo Crown Oaks (Group 1 Open SW) – 03.40pm
Sadly super 3yo and the best filly in Australia Atlantic Jewel isn’t starting here but look forward to her returning from her spell as she is so exciting. No 2 Dowager Queen $3.80 (I have already backed) is backing up from 5 days ago and a big run against Atlantic Jewel doing his best too late. She will run this out for sure. No 3 Gliding $7 ran up on the pace and fought hard all the way and actually found another gear late. No 4 Rahveel $6 ran second to Atlantic Jewel last start only 7 lengths off her and this happened in 200mtrs. On that run she is a chance. No 1 Mosheen $4.50 is too short for me. Yes, she is classy but will she run this out?
Race 7 – 1800mtrs 3yo Handicap MSF Stakes (Listed) – 04.25pm
No 4 World Domination $8.50 is overs for me and a good eachway bet at these odds. Last start in the small field he jumped and was caught wide and pushed on for the lead, I don’t think it suited and they will settle him back here and let him run them down. No 8 Now You Know $4 on last start the way he won he does look a big threat. No 1 Torah $4.40 she is a nice filly and classy but giving these guys weight worries me but she can do it. Multiple players No 3 Proliferate $5.50 and the other filly No 2 Euryale $5 need to be included.
Race 8 – 1000mtrs 3yo & up SV Stakes (Listed Open SW) – 05.10pm
No 5 Master Harry $3.30 returns from a good spell and he is sure to have matured a little from what I have heard. The word is he looks nice in training and he is two from two down the straight here and he is sure to be more mature now. No 4 Perturbo $5.50 has hardly put a foot wrong of late and will give this a big shake a long way. No 12 Sarge in Charge $21 I think you need to give a chance as he can finish races off well.
Race 9 – 1600mtrs Handicap – 05.50pm
No 4 Cosmic Causeway $4.80 (nom Sun) if starts I am backing to pip the favourite here. Is racing well this preparation and finding the line well. No 13 Face Off $4.50 is another that is racing well this preparation. Last start didn’t have a lot of luck and went across the line with plenty in the tank. No 10 Sea Coral $9.50 and No 11 Snow Cover $8.50 for multiple players.
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