Thursday, 10 November 2011

Moonee Valley Horse Racing Tips Friday 11th November 2011 Victoria Australia

I am a professional punter living outside Australia. I punt for a living and for years been helping my mates out with my tips. I have friends on the inside and a professional at reading form.

I watch 100’s of videos each week to pick my winners. I only bet on Victorian races. At times when Victorian horses are interstate I will offer tips at those meetings. I have decided to share my tips, hopefully to help the normal punter win a few bucks on the weekend.

Remember, never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is a problem contact professional help in your state, city or country. Victoria Horse Racing supports responsible gambling initiatives. Good luck if having a punt and remember to gamble responsibly.

Moonee Valley Horse Racing Tips Victoria Australia

Race 1 – 1600mtrs 0 – 82 Handicap – 06.45pm

We start off with a small and weak race here. No 2 Our Pride And Joy $1.55 keep an eye on the track condition, the wetter it gets the better for this horse. He is already going to take a power of beating as the others don’t seem much chop. No 1 Snitza $3.40 is a good outsider to knock off the favourite here. This horse can run a very good race and back from the spell needed that run and will only be better for it. No 5 Oshkosh $15 (nom Tue) will lead this and give them something to chase down.

Race 2 – 1200mtrs 3yo & up Maiden Plate (set weights) – 07.15pm

No 6 Vettel
(nom Sun) on breeding have to respect and watch markets are they are going to be the best guide for this unseen colt. No 1 Cosmic Demon just cannot break through. Has hardly put a foot wrong but been unlucky at times. From this barrier a very good chance to get a lovely run and break the duck. No 8 Miss Camalach (nom Tue, Wed, Thur) give a chance as run back from the spell not so bad. No 2 Hermes (nom Thur) is another you just have to give a chance as hasn’t had a race where everything has gone right for him and last two starts solid. Moody’s runner No 11 Borsay (nom Sat, Sun, Wed,Thur) if starts markets will be the guide and he is sure to be better back from the spell and his only run not so bad.

Race 3 – 2040mtrs 3yo Fillies & Mares 0 – 82 Handicap – 07.45pm

After going over the form and watching videos it is hard to go past the favourite No 5 Shezaten $2.60. Going on last start will be giving this a huge shake. An outsider No 9 Kim Heaven $9 (nom Wed) is still a horse learning and didn’t finish too far off Brazilian Pulse last preparation and for sure the more distance to suit as well. No 1 Cold Steel Rein $3.60 even with the top weight must respect. Multiple players throw in No 10 Lunar Blonde $19 as she has been finding the line well of late.

Race 4 – 955mtrs 3yo & up Fillies & Mares Handicap – 08.15pm

This will be a hot sprint. I am going to risk the favourite. No 2 Big Spirit $5.50 goes well here and being fresh and the 2kg claim all big bonuses and she will run a big race as always. No 5 Centexpress $10 was just outclassed last start, back in grade and the claim is going to make her very light and a good outsider for me. No 10 Lis Nediym $13 both runs back from the spell have been good and a little unlucky. Has really been hitting the post hard. No 1 Miss Octopussy $2.40 is the class horse for sure and the 3kg claim a big help and she can carry the 57kgs but I think she may just find this too short with this weight.

Race 5 – 2500mtrs 0 – 82 Handicap – 08.45pm
Again giving an outsider a chance over the very short favourite. No 3 Star Of Jeune $7.50 needs runs under the belt and she them here coming into this. A small field and out in distance all bonuses for me. No 1 Rialya $2 for sure will take some beating if you go over the form and videos. The 3kg claim means he will carry 56kgs and this is no worries but I do think he is unders. No 6 Palmero $4.80 scratched from an easier race yesterday at Bendigo and first up run in Australia was good and will only have benefited from it for sure. No 5 Stella Rose $5.50 is another you must keep safe in multiples. For value No 10 Morning Raid $23 last start in a much easier race but maybe breeding has finally shown through.

Race 6 – 1000mtrs 0 – 82 Handicap – 09.15pm

I really think Smerdon has a chance of a trifecta here if first emergency No 11 No Means Go $3.40 (nom Thur) gets a start. She is lightly raced but pretty handy and first up from the spell was a big run after getting away poorly, settled last and then held up for clear running on the bend before warming up too late. No 9 Side Splitter $11 back from a long spell and even though she is getting on in age she is at a good weight and will more than likely push across and lead here and give them something to chase down. No 10 Rockshaft $12 both runs back since being gleded have been average. He is obviously better than these and if you watch his Breeders Stakes win you can see that and just have to give a chance. No 5 Alpha Proxima $4.40 is racing well and the wetter it gets the better.

Race 7 – 1200mtrs 3yo 0 – 72 Handicap – 09.45pm

I think this is the best race on the card. No 1 Whitlam his first effort over the distance was a solid run and should have trained on since then. No 3 The Counterfeiter was in the same race and also a good run and can run a good 1200mtr race. No 9 Wind in his Hair jumps way up in class after an easy maiden win last start but did it easy and with class. No 4 Under The Sun is a ex NZ horse having its first Aussie start in the Waterhouse stable and did win his barrier trial well. No 8 Rescue Mission back in class but comes up against a few handy looking horses.

Race 8 – 1200mtrs 0 – 78 Handicap – 10.15pm

This is also going to be a very good race if you ask me. No 9 Tariana I like the look of this horse and watching some replays she will pick up the odd listed race here and there I think. She came back with a good win and wasn’t over stretched and she will be better and have tightened up since then as well. No 2 That’s Not It he has showed a bit of form his last two races and I think watching him he is not far off putting it all together. No 3 Freereturn cannot fault form and last start a strong leading win. No 4 Agrippa (nom Thur) should have won last start and the jockey had a poor ride. Here must respect. No 8 Miss Elvee (nom Thur) is no mug and if on her day a very good horse.

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