Friday 18 November 2011

Moonee Valley Horse Racing Tips Saturday 19th November 2011 Victoria Australia

I am a professional punter living outside Australia. I punt for a living and for years been helping my mates out with my tips. I have friends on the inside and a professional at reading form.

I watch 100’s of videos each week to pick my winners. I only bet on Victorian races. At times when Victorian horses are interstate I will offer tips at those meetings. I have decided to share my tips, hopefully to help the normal punter win a few bucks on the weekend.

Remember, never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is a problem contact professional help in your state, city or country. Victoria Horse Racing supports responsible gambling initiatives. Good luck if having a punt and remember to gamble responsibly.

Moonee Valley Horse Racing Tips Victoria Australia

Race 1 – 1000mtrs 3yo 0 – 78 Handicap – 12.40pm

A nice little race to start the day and good odds on offer here and there is plenty of speed in the race. No 8 Roxit $4.60 a strong win on debut and a bit of a surprise as was not supported in the markets. It was a strong grinding win and remains light and a threat again for sure on that run. No 1 Rescue Mission $5.50 will run a cheeky race and lead a long way, the small 1.5kg claim is a big help. No 2 The Counterfeiter $5 is another that will be up on the speed or leading and again in this a long way. I cannot see anything else but one of those three winning. For multiple players No 6 Nodrems $8 and No 7 Silver Falls $8.

Race 2 – 3000mtrs 0 – 89 Handicap – 01.20pm

Another good betting race. No 2 Pergola $3.80 is a horse that gets better with racing and last start he showed he was getting his fitness back coming home well. Will be suited here as there should be a little pace on here. No 5 Palmero $7.50 got to give this Kiwi a bit of a chance. Both runs in Australia have merit and last start took a while to get going but was finishing off well. No 4 Jumpin Jack Cash $3.20 I think is too short but you have to respect on his win two starts back. He usually gets ridden off the pace but that win two back sat on the speed and won well. No 8 Dell $13 (nom Thur) was well beaten by JJC last start but not a bad effort first time over the trip. A big value injection for multiple players that could sneak a place is No 13 Count Lotus $61.

Race 3 – 1500mtrs 3yo Fillies & Mares Handicap – 02.00pm

A small but an open race and after going over the form thought should be good markets and it is with $5 the field. I have to go with the horse that has plenty of potential and that is No 1 Limerock $5. She usually needs a few runs and has that here and last start could have been a lot better as not a lot of luck. The claim is a big help and also back against her own sex all bonuses for me. I had a little go at her at better odds. No 2 Saint Angers $5 is another Moody horse also with a claim from the jockey. Obviously on breeding she has been a disappointment to date but she can run a decent race. Last start she was just outclassed. No 7 Maquina $6 (nom Wed) she is getting on in years but she can also run a decent race. Last start also out of her class but it was a much better run than it probably looks like on paper. She was wide a long way and threw a plate and need to respect. No 5 Mikeys Magic $6.50 for multiples.

Race 4 – 1200mtrs 3yo Fillies 0 – 72 Handicap – 02.40pm

After going over the form and videos I think No 1 The Fairy’s Kiss $3.10 and No 3 Reigning Lass $5 aren’t that far apart. I think the $1.90 difference is too much but have to wait and see as I am no bookie. TFK comes back in grade and up in weights and this is a bit of a worry for me. I do think she will go on and win the odd listed race here and there but this is going to be a tough race. RL seemed to really need those first few runs to find her feet. She has three wins in a row in much easier races but watching those runs she looks solid and the claim will help. She will lead and make them run her down. No 7 Vain Attraction $15 I am willing to give a chance after a last start failure. She just never looked settled but her debut win was not so bad. Multiples include No 5 Shadow West $9 and No 2 Florets $5.50.

Race 5 – 1200mtrs 3yo & up Fillies & Mares Handicap – 03.20pm

I was surprised when I looked at the markets after going over the form as I think the favourite is too short. No 1 Avionics $6 she can carry the top weight and was a good run first up from the spell. If you watch the replay she got going too late but was striding out well late. Gibe the old girl a chance. No 1 Cat’s Pyjamas $3.20 from the top Kavanagh stable. She burst onto the scene with two wins and then went to the paddock and when she returned didn’t live up to expectations. Went to the paddock again and came back looking good. Three excellent runs and returns here from a long spell and just have to respect her as she has a lot of potential. No 7 Miss Elvee $7.50 is racing well and ran a good race here last start. I do think 1200mtrs stretches her though. For multiple players No 3 Fabulist $8.

Race 6 – 1600mtrs Handicap – 04.00pm

I rated No 6 Eraset $3.50 a good deal in front of the others here. I have already backed but at better odds and do think you will get a little better is you wait for markets to open. He is racing well and a very competitive weight. No 14 Scaredy Mac $9 (nom Sun) I think an excellent light weight chance carrying 50kgs. Watching his four runs this preparation cannot dismiss. No 9 Cosmic Causeway $4.60 they announced he was to be ridden forward and was, the speed was solid and this seemed to take too much out of him and the vet did say he had a slow recovery rate. He is more than handy and if Moody has him right a big threat. For multiples No 8 The Wingman $8.50 and No 4 La Rocket $13.

Race 7 – 2040mtrs 0 – 82 Handicap – 04.40pm

I think this is a weak stayers race and have a few roughies ahead of the shorter horses. No 15 Mr Lowndes $14 (nom Sun) is still a young horse learning and last start a decent win. This is a lot harder for sure but is light and could cause an upset. No 8 Sea Galleon $10 returned from a long spell and has put in three good runs. Surprised first up winning but was backed from $11 into $8 late. Last start was threatening and then the jockey lost the whip about 300mtrs out, give a chance. No 12 Fabriano $18 is light and has the runs under the belt here and should be working home late. No 4 Bellissimo $4.80 has hardly put a foot wrong of late but just cannot get across the line first. No 3 Elusive King $5 is a better horse than his 1 win record suggests.

Race 8 – 1000mtrs Handicap – 05.20pm

I am going to be going very wide here in my quadrella for sure with 7 choices it looks like. No 1 Definitely Ready $5.50 has come back from his throat operation very well. He can carry the weight and the trainer thinks this as has not engaged an apprentice. A very nice horse. No 10 Galbraith $21 when I saw these odds was a little shocked as he might be getting on but can still run a good race and is very light his last three runs not a lot has gone right for him. No 2 Canali $6.50 led a long way last start to just go down, my concern is the weight. No 4 Rocking Force $7.50 I liked the win last start but the weight will be too much I think here. No 3 Master Harry $4.60 I just dare you to not have him in your quaddie, he wasn’t right first up.

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