Saturday 17 December 2011

Ballarat Horse Racing Tips Sunday 18th December 2011 Victoria Australia

I am a professional punter living outside Australia. I punt for a living and for years been helping my mates out with my tips. I have friends on the inside and a professional at reading form.

I watch 100’s of videos each week to pick my winners. I only bet on Victorian races. At times when Victorian horses are interstate I will offer tips at those meetings. I have decided to share my tips, hopefully to help the normal punter win a few bucks on the weekend.

Remember, never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is a problem contact professional help in your state, city or country. Victoria Horse Racing supports responsible gambling initiatives. Good luck if having a punt and remember to gamble responsibly.

Ballarat Horse Racing Tips Victoria Australia

Race 1 – 1200mtrs 3yo & up Maiden Plate (set weights) – 01.00pm

A tricky maiden with a few first starters and lightly raced horses here. Watch markets closely. No 5 Starkiato (nom Wed) they debuted this horse in the city at Caulfield and was very green and outclassed. Was making ground but shifting ground and jockey had to stop riding a few times. Been in the paddock a while and I am sure he will be better schooled. His is still a colt so they are expecting him to be handy and a chance a stud career I suppose. Another out of Starcraft, No 7 True Tussock across from Sydney to try his luck. Has been well backed both starts, first run was decent but last start a little disappointed. Maybe the dry track will be what he needs. No 4 Shadow On The Moon a good debut I thought as got back last and came along the rail and then flattened out well the last 200mtrs. The horse that won that race has been going alright. Looks like the extra metres will suit.

Race 2 – 1600mtrs 3yo Maiden Plate (set weights) – 01.35pm

No 3 Crystal Icon
first up from the spell a good effort and last start was also a very good run but may not look so on paper. Was wide and no cover and started to work into it from around the 700mtr mark. Wide into the straight and held position. It wasn’t an easy run as covered a lot of ground facing the breeze and one to just give a chance to. No 5 Greek Legend was in the same race and also not a lot of luck being held up when improving. Was tightened badly but kept making ground and a big threat for sure. No 6 Hearts Are Trumps (nom Thur) wasn’t supported on debut and a big drifter. Was green and needed the run and should be better for it.

Race 3 – 1600mtrs 3yo & up Fillies & Mares Maiden Plate (set weights) – 02.10pm

I think you just have to give No 5 Parnissius from Kavanagh a chance. First up from the spell forget run, just trust breeding and with blinkers going on here could make a huge difference. No 2 Jumpin Joh (nom Thur) will be three runs back here and breeding suggest this and further should suit. Did work home alright at longer odds last start. No 10 Lucky Sparkle (nom Thur) looked much better stepping out in distance last start. Just went down and she had to ease around heels after a small gap closed on her. No 8 Vilify (nom Thur) two decent runs this preparation and a good jockey on top. Another Kavanagh runner No 9 Greisen with Froggy in the saddle with blinkers for the first time. Has been average to date.

Race 4 – 1400mtrs 3yo & up Maiden Plate (set weights) – 02.45pm

Keep an eye on markets for first starter No 7 Astrodynamic (nom Wed, Thur) if starts here markets are going to be a good guide but has been in work a while and I hear looks a lovely horse and training well. No 6 Vizhaka a solid race last start, was wide and no cover early and pulled up to leaders near the turn and went to the lead. Ran out of gas last 50mtrs but a very big run and respect. No 4 Providence all his runs this preparation have been good another to respect.

Race 5 – 1000mtrs 0 - 68 Handicap – 03.20pm

No 5 No Vanity
I cannot see a lot of speed in the race and she could get an easy lead if she likes it here more than likely. She does go up in weight for this class and has run some decent races in much harder races. No 5 Carracci is a hard one as after a good first preparation came back for just one run and then spelled again and returns here after 289 days. Keep him safe. No 6 Intreeg was nominated but scratched at Caulfield midweek. For sure he will try and get cross and lead and hopefully give NV a lovely run. No 10 Ribati his best years have passed but he goes well fresh.

Race 6 – 1600mtrs 0 – 68 Handicap – 03.57pm

No 2 Tanah Lot
(nom Wed) has plenty of potential and returning from the spell did what he usually does and start poorly. I was hoping during his spell they might have fixed his barrier tardiness but never mind as he is a big threat here. No 4 Oneman Wolfpack (nom Wed) both runs this preparation have been very good and in this form sure to be a big chance. No 10 Caravaggio has been specked at odds in much harder races. Has run some solid city races and one you just have to keep safe. No 6 Blast Out Of Here a multiples chance for me. No 11 The Best Money Can Buy only carrying 50.5kgs and don’t be surprised if salutes first up from the spell.

Race 7 – 2200mtrs 0 – 62 Handicap – 04.32pm

A very average staying race here to say the least. No 4 Blasting gets an excellent chance to pick up win number two here, a big chance. No 1 Deep Cove is one that you need to just give breeding a chance. Hasn’t been great or disgraceful to date but looks to be still finding his feet. No 14 Aspin Nikita has no jockey nominated here. If she starts I do think she will be around the finish. No 3 Hybeam last few runs have been good.

Race 8 – 1400mtrs 0 – 62 Handicap – 05.07pm

Not a strong race to finish and I think No 2 Friend In Deed has a huge chance to make it back to back wins here. Scratched from MV Friday night and even though drawn a little wide usually gets away well and I cannot see a heap of speed inside him. Can carry the weight as well. No 8 Tale Of The Sea (nom Wed) won on debut before three failed runs in the city. Handy trainer and obviously a horse that was disappointing back from the spell but wasn’t supported in markets. I think we will see a better horse here.

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