Thursday 15 December 2011

Moonee Valley Horse Racing Tips Friday 16th December 2011 Victoria Australia

I am a professional punter living outside Australia. I punt for a living and for years been helping my mates out with my tips. I have friends on the inside and a professional at reading form.

I watch 100’s of videos each week to pick my winners. I only bet on Victorian races. At times when Victorian horses are interstate I will offer tips at those meetings. I have decided to share my tips, hopefully to help the normal punter win a few bucks on the weekend.

Remember, never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is a problem contact professional help in your state, city or country. Victoria Horse Racing supports responsible gambling initiatives. Good luck if having a punt and remember to gamble responsibly.

Moonee Valley Horse Racing Tips Victoria Australia

Race 1 – 2040mtrs 0 – 72 Handicap – 06.45pm

I think this will be a competitive race between a few good chances. No 8 Bold Trojan (nom Thur) take last start win with a pinch of salt. His two starts back from the spell have been promising and he does look more switched on. Blinkers first time in his big win last start and just have to wait and see if he can repeat here. No 9 Jeune Baby Jeune (nom Sat) two runs back from the spell have been good and the weight is right and sure to be tip top condition. No 3 Bianmick last couple of starts has been over 1800 and 2040mtrs, these were the first runs past the mile and they were good. No 5 Bel Sir if starts a 5 day turnaround but need to respect as racing well.

Race 2 – 2040mtrs 3yo & up Fillies & Mares 0 – 89 Handicap – 07.15pm

I see this as another hotly contested race with a few chances here. No 4 Flying Hula $2.90 with the claim and current form hard not to put on top and if runs like the last couple of races will be right there at the end. No 1 Manila Jewel $4 is a big threat and the horse I am more than likely going to back but do want better odds than currently being offered. I think a big each way go but am waiting for any scratching. The claim will be a big help and I hope to start the night off well here. No 3 You I Find $6 she usually needs runs under the belt and has that here and the claim a bonus and should be more than competitive. No 2 Cadenzia $4.20 needed that first up run and is sure to be better here. Multiple players don’t leave out No 6 Champagne Love $9.

Race 3 – 1000mtrs 3yo 0 – 78 Handicap – 07.45pm

This could be a big blanket finish for sure. No 7 Your Excellency $5.50 haven’t seen since solid debut win where he was smashed and bookies were in tears being backed from $6 - $1.80. Did trial a couple of weeks back and looked very good. No 3 Stratumsphere $6 won first two race starts before failing down the straight at Flemington. Returns here and keep safe and I look forward to seeing on top of the track. No 10 Kid Kobe $13 this is a test for sure but last couple have been alright and I think better with the blinkers off. This horse just missed a listed race win. No 9 Empress Cleo $10 opened short but drifted in markets first back from the spell but won well. No 4 Sweet Music $4.60 is the current favourite and form is good and another with a good chance.

Race 4 – 955mtrs 4yo & up Mares Handicap – 08.15pm

Another fast and furious dash here and there are a few that like to lead. It could set them up to be run down or get the others off the bit but have to wait and see. No 3 Centexpress has drawn wide but has gate speed and will get across but may be a little wide. Have to respect at this weight and a good threat. No 6 Exceed and Excite is going for 5 in a row here and stepping out to open handicap keeps the weight down and will lead from this barrier. No 7 Save A Penny was well backed last start here from $12 - $8.50 and a good win but her stablemate No 8 Overexposed tried hard to upset the punters. Both are light and Overexposed will be another leading the race. I am hoping Centexpress gets a sit behind EE and OE.

Race 5 – 1500mtrs 0 – 72 Handicap – 08.45pm

No 13 Friend in Deed
(emergency / nom Sun) if starts he comes into this in good form and light with the class rise. I think a better chance here than Sunday. No 3 Condahussler (nom Wed) is racing well and can carry weight and a chance for sure. No 2 Murdoch’s Joy when Cox comes to the city you have to be careful. I don’t think he has had a runner for months in the city and this horse will be ripped for sure if I know Cox. No 8 Seguro for multiple players.

Race 6 – 1600mtrs 3yo Handicap – 09.15pm

I think the markets are a little skinny here and the odds should be a lot better than currently on offer. I think there are a couple of chances outside the two shorter favourites. No 1 Cash Bound $3.50 I look forward to seeing over the mile for the first time. Won first up from the spell as expected and then failed at Sandown but never recovered from the poor start. Redeemed with a solid win last start and must respect. No 8 Soaked $12 is juicy for me. This horse caught my eye in the videos really finding the line well in them. Sure only won his maiden last start but the weight is good and a more than handy jockey. This is my each-way bet. No 4 Fedde $12 is another at odds and watching videos of his NSW form not so bad. First start in Victoria but should be running on late. No 2 Sabres $3.60 well bred and racing well, can carry the weight and a big chance as well.

Race 7 – 1200mtrs 3yo Fillies 0 – 72 Handicap – 09.45pm

No 11 Testanova
broke her maiden status last start returning from the spell. She looks handy and should win a few in the city for sure. No 5 Song Of The Bell has been back in work a while and first up here but I do expect a forward showing from what I have heard she looks good. No 1 Draw forward surprised me and many others first up last start. Won a decent odds and not an easy run as was wide. I worry about the weight but the trainer has not engaged an apprentice so must be confident. No 2 Florets we have definitely not seen the best of this horses ability but keep safe.

Race 8 – 1200mtrs 0 – 82 Handicap – 10.15pm

And a hard but very open betting race to finish the night off on. No 4 Set Me Straight $6.50 is racing very well but this is a big class rise but form and weight not without a big chance for me. No 6 Face Off $8.50 I remember when he came across from NZ and won his first couple of races, since then he hasn’t quiet hit top form. He won last start but if you watch the 4 starts before that in every race had something go wrong or a little unlucky. If he stays out of trouble I cannot see why not a threat. No 5 Dazza $9 hasn’t been great around this distance of late but much improved last start and can be more than handy. No 8 Le Remas $6 does have excuses for last start and hit line well too late, form has been very good and at this weight a big threat. No 13 Sutonic $5.50 gets a start if they want and light and a big threat for sure. Very hard and open race here.

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